The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | vs 47Kansas StateCONFNEUTRAL | W 24–21 | +6.6 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs South Dakota FCS | W 55–7 | +7.6 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 14Iowa | W 16–13 | +11.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 105Arkansas State | W 24–16 | +4.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 29ArizonaCONF | W 39–14 | +28.7 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 58CincinnatiCONF | L 30–38 | -3.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 86ColoradoCONF | L 17–24 | -7.4 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 12BYUCONF | L 27–41 | -4.9 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 45Arizona StateCONF | L 19–24 | -3.9 | — | TNT |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 34TCUCONF | W 20–17 | +11.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 60KansasCONF | W 38–14 | +22.8 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 20–13 | -1.8 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.4% | 41st | 39.9% | 37th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.8% | 41st | 40.1% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 42nd | 39.7% | 50th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.8% | 93rd | 15.0% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 61st | 8.5% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.06 | 67th | 2.96 | 54th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 79th | 38.3% | 71st |
| Stuff rate | 16.6% | 62nd | 18.6% | 46th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 2.9% | 131st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 76th | 39.3% | 53rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 73rd | 44.1% | 15th |
| Havoc rate | 11.9% | 82nd | 12.7% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.4 | 79th | 20.2 | 23rd |
| Yards / game | 396.1 | 60th | 356.5 | 54th |
| Yards / play | 5.62 | 62nd | 5.53 | 84th |
| Pass yards / game | 221.4 | 75th | 211.7 | 76th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.66 | 48th | 6.78 | 51st |
| Completion % | 60.5% | 86th | 61.2% | 62nd |
| Rush yards / game | 174.7 | 49th | 138.0 | 50th |
| Yards / carry | 4.38 | 67th | 4.44 | 88th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.1% | 67th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 56th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 57th | 1.08 | 130th |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.0 | 20th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →