
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 25 | vs 88Wyoming | L 7–29 | -27.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 48Minnesota | L 10–48 | -23.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 14Utah State | L 13–60 | -19.2 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 109New Mexico | L 25–42 | -29.6 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 130UTEP | W 27–20 | -10.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 105Liberty | W 49–41 | -3.7 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 92Louisiana | L 38–66 | -27.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 59Georgia Southern | L 31–48 | -18.1 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 121Texas State | L 20–27 | -17.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs Alcorn State FCS | W 52–42 | -13.8 | — | |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 57BYU | L 10–45 | -23.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 105Liberty | L 21–28 | -13.8 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.1% | 108th | 46.7% | 107th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.6% | 65th | 48.5% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 36.1% | 107th | 43.8% | 91st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 54th | 17.8% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.4% | 111th | 11.6% | 91st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.85 | 92nd | 3.25 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.2% | 39th | 42.7% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 22.8% | 115th | 17.6% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 80th | 7.7% | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.4% | 90th | 48.0% | 117th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.8% | 99th | 73.9% | 110th |
| Havoc rate | 15.4% | 109th | 12.3% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.3 | 102nd | 41.3 | 114th |
| Yards / game | 370.5 | 97th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.78 | 118th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 265.2 | 30th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.93 | 121st | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.3% | 103rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 105.3 | 125th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.57 | 118th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.0% | 99th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.33 | 126th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.8 | 64th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Romero | QB | ||||
| 12 | Nick Jeanty | QB | ||||
| 14 | Josh Adkins | QB | ||||
| 1 | Jason Huntley | RB | ||||
| 7 | Royce Caldwell | RB | ||||
| 25 | Christian Gibson | RB | ||||
| 2 | OJ Clark | WR | ||||
| 8 | Tevis Abraham Jr. | WR | ||||
| 9 | Desmond Dan Jr. | WR | ||||
| 10 | Izaiah Lottie | WR | ||||
| 11 | Shea Holebrook Jr. | WR | ||||
| 13 | Johnathan Boone | WR | ||||
| 20 | Naveon Mitchell | WR | ||||
| 21 | Anthony Muse | WR | ||||
| 87 | Bryce Roberts | OL | ||||
| 3 | Derek Ibekwe | DL | ||||
| 6 | Derek Watson | DL | ||||
| 8 | Jassavia Reese | DL | ||||
| 10 | Cedric Wilcots II | DL | ||||
| 16 | Donavan King | DL | ||||
| 18 | Marcus Buckley | DL | ||||
| 54 | John Graves III | DL | ||||
| 88 | Xander Yarberough | DL | ||||
| 89 | Jackson Solbeck | DL | ||||
| 99 | Myles Vigne | DL | ||||
| Marcus Buckley | DL | |||||
| 23 | Praise Amaewhule | DE | ||||
| 2 | Terrill Hanks | LB | ||||
| 7 | Javahn Fergurson | LB | ||||
| 20 | Jonathan Hood | LB | ||||
| 28 | Shane Jackson | LB | ||||
| 31 | Mike Edwards | LB | ||||
| 41 | Leon McQuaker | LB | ||||
| 43 | Billy Nipp | LB | ||||
| 80 | Trevor Brohard | LB | ||||
| 1 | Ray Buford Jr. | DB | ||||
| 1 | Calvin Swenson | DB | ||||
| 4 | DeMarcus Owens | DB | ||||
| 4 | Caleb Mills | DB | ||||
| 5 | Komotay Koffie | DB | ||||
| 9 | Lautoa Nomura | DB | ||||
| 12 | Tymon Locklin | DB | ||||
| 19 | Austin Perkins | DB | ||||
| 21 | Rodney McGraw II | DB | ||||
| 23 | Ron LaForce | DB | ||||
| 18 | Dylan Brown | PK | ||||
| 24 | Parker Davidson | PK | ||||
| 16 | Payton Theisler | P | ||||
| 11 | Malik Demby | DEF | ||||
| 22 | Shamad Lomax | DEF | ||||
| 29 | Jared Phipps | DEF | ||||
| 51 | Roy Lopez | DEF | ||||
| 94 | DeShawnte Lloyd | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →