Mountain West · 2022 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2022

10-35-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#36
of 131 FBS teams
Rating
+4.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.6
78th in FBS
Defense
+6.4
14th in FBS
Schedule
-7.0
128th toughest
Preseason
+4.0
rating going in

2022 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+4.8 now, +4.0 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#36

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsNorthern Iowa FCSW 48–17+3.3—
2Sep 10vs128ColoradoW 41–10+8.9—CBS
3Sep 16@93WyomingCONFL 14–17-6.1—CBSSN
4Sep 23vs123NevadaCONFW 48–20+11.1—FS1
5Oct 1vs76NavyW 13–10-1.9—CBS
6Oct 8@111Utah StateCONFL 27–34-13.3—FS1
7Oct 15@101UNLVCONFW 42–7+23.7—CBSSN
8Oct 22vs39Boise StateCONFL 14–19-3.1—CBSSN
9—Bye
10Nov 5vs71ArmyNEUTRALW 13–7+5.9—CBS
11Nov 12vs127New MexicoCONFW 35–3+9.9—CBSSN
12Nov 19vs125Colorado StateCONFW 24–12-3.4—FS2
13Nov 26@77San Diego StateCONFW 13–3+9.8—CBSSN
BowlsDec 22vs31BaylorNEUTRALW 30–15+20.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.5%19th37.8%16th
Rushing success rate51.3%18th36.7%10th
Passing success rate37.2%105th39.0%43rd
Explosive run rate12.9%92nd12.1%31st
Explosive pass rate16.5%3rd10.3%68th
Line yards / carry3.604th3.0045th
Opportunity rate43.1%22nd34.8%26th
Stuff rate9.3%1st14.8%90th
Sack rate9.6%123rd8.0%16th
3rd-down conversion46.6%25th30.1%5th
Red-zone TD rate63.2%60th36.4%1st
Havoc rate5.0%6th10.0%37th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.971st13.43rd
Yards / game397.159th——
Yards / play5.7347th——
Pass yards / game70.5131st——
Yards / pass att.10.531st——
Completion %47.1%129th——
Rush yards / game326.71st——
Yards / carry5.3015th——
3rd-down conv. %44.9%30th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0017th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.927th——
Penalty yards / game29.71st——

Players

76 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)

76 players

Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →