
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 15Oregon State | L 17–34 | -5.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 127New MexicoCONF | W 31–14 | +4.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 30–7 | -0.2 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 106UTEP | L 10–27 | -21.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 77San Diego StateCONF | W 35–13 | +17.1 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 34Fresno StateCONF | W 40–20 | +22.7 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 36Air ForceCONF | W 19–14 | +12.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 125Colorado StateCONF | W 49–10 | +13.9 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 67BYU | L 28–31 | -4.5 | — | FS2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 123NevadaCONF | W 41–3 | +19.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 93WyomingCONF | W 20–17 | -0.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 111Utah StateCONF | W 42–23 | +8.0 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 34Fresno State | L 16–28 | -9.3 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 74North TexasNEUTRAL | W 35–32 | +1.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.6% | 55th | 35.8% | 6th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.1% | 37th | 40.1% | 23rd |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 80th | 30.3% | 1st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 42nd | 8.3% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 52nd | 11.3% | 93rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.45 | 10th | 2.98 | 40th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 24th | 33.7% | 20th |
| Stuff rate | 13.2% | 17th | 14.3% | 95th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 12th | 7.6% | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.9% | 46th | 34.1% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.7% | 67th | 55.2% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 6.7% | 24th | 10.0% | 37th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.4 | 60th | 19.5 | 15th |
| Yards / game | 386.9 | 69th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.70 | 50th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 190.6 | 111th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.93 | 86th | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 82nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 196.4 | 29th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.99 | 29th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.8% | 58th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.21 | 38th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 10th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.4 | 41st | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →