Mountain West · 2017 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2017

5-74-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#82
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-2.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.3
42nd in FBS
Defense
-5.2
104th in FBS
Schedule
-1.2
68th toughest
Preseason
+2.0
rating going in

2017 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.9 now, +2.0 preseason · down 35 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#82

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsVMI FCSW 62–0+15.2—ESPN3
2—Bye
3Sep 16@15MichiganL 13–29-3.2—BTN
4Sep 23vs36San Diego StateCONFL 24–28-1.9—CBSSN
5Sep 30@108New MexicoCONFL 38–56-24.1—CBSSN
6Oct 7@42NavyL 45–48+3.8—CBSSN
7Oct 14vs101UNLVCONFW 34–30-5.4—
8Oct 20@106NevadaCONFW 45–42-2.1—CBSSN
9Oct 28@64Colorado StateCONFW 45–28+19.6—CBSSN
10Nov 4vs51ArmyL 0–21-20.7—CBSSN
11Nov 11vs63WyomingCONFL 14–28-16.3—ESPNU
12Nov 18@24Boise StateCONFL 19–44-14.0—ESPN2
13Nov 25vs76Utah StateCONFW 38–35-1.0—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.5%10th42.7%73rd
Rushing success rate51.3%6th44.2%79th
Passing success rate36.9%103rd40.0%54th
Explosive run rate15.4%54th16.4%98th
Explosive pass rate18.2%4th15.5%127th
Line yards / carry3.2715th3.0987th
Opportunity rate42.7%14th36.1%49th
Stuff rate13.1%6th18.5%70th
Sack rate12.7%127th2.9%122nd
3rd-down conversion49.0%4th43.6%92nd
Red-zone TD rate73.8%16th57.1%44th
Havoc rate11.1%36th8.9%126th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.530th36.8113th
Yards / game417.049th——
Yards / play5.3776th——
Pass yards / game110.1126th——
Yards / pass att.9.306th——
Completion %48.6%124th——
Rush yards / game306.95th——
Yards / carry4.8136th——
3rd-down conv. %48.5%4th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.9252nd——
Penalty yards / game38.312th——

Players

68 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)

68 players

Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →