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American · 2026

Rice Owls

Head coach Scott Abell · Rice Stadium
1-70-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#117
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-14.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.8
116th in FBS
Defense
-6.3
113th in FBS
Schedule so far
-3.6
73rd toughest
Projected
2.1-9.9
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-14.1 now, -16.1 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#117

Final record odds

2.1-9.9 expected · most likely 2-10 (42%)
29%1-1142%2-1023%3-95%4-8

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jacurri Brown
QB · SR · 160th in FBS
478yds
3 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Jacurri Brown
QB · SR · 33rd in FBS
668yds
118 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Jordan Clark
WR · FR · 330th in FBS
257yds
20 rec · 0 TD
Tackles
AJ Brown
S · SR · 84th in FBS
60tkl
5 TFL
Sacks
Chibby Nwajuaku
DL · SR · 309th in FBS
2sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
Daveon Hook
S · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
0 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsHouston Christian FCSW 31–3 ›-5.3—ESPN+
2Sep 12@1Notre DameL 0–52 ›-3.1—NBC
3Sep 19vs82Western MichiganL 21–28 ›-14.6—ESPN+
4Sep 26@75Fresno StateL 24–38 ›-11.9—CW
5Oct 3vs70UTSACONFL 14–16 ›-5.3—ESPN+
6Oct 10@83East CarolinaCONFL 12–28 ›-16.8—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs92TulsaCONFL 17–38 ›-31.3—ESPN+
8Oct 24@99Florida AtlanticCONFL 49–51 ›-8.0—ESPNU
9—Bye
10Nov 7@56North TexasCONFNorth Texas −21.6 · o/u 67.2—8%ESPNU
11Nov 14vs90TulaneCONFTulane −4.1 · o/u 44.9—39%ESPN+
12Nov 19@102TempleCONFTemple −7.6 · o/u 52.5—31%ESPN
13Nov 28vs76ArmyCONFArmy −8.3 · o/u 56.1—29%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.027115th+0.153103rd
Success rate40.6%94th42.7%90th
Explosiveness1.21384th1.314108th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.9%80th43.6%98th
Rushing success rate45.4%47th44.1%91st
Passing success rate30.5%136th43.0%102nd
Explosive run rate14.1%60th15.7%114th
Explosive pass rate8.5%106th8.9%51st
Line yards / carry3.2147th2.9355th
Opportunity rate43.4%16th37.2%70th
Stuff rate16.7%60th19.9%39th
Sack rate10.5%133rd3.6%115th
3rd-down conversion34.4%118th43.8%114th
Red-zone TD rate53.8%103rd63.3%91st
Havoc rate11.5%32nd13.5%75th
Box score · season totals
Points / game21.0117th31.8122nd
Yards / game354.998th383.596th
Yards / play5.5674th5.5190th
Pass yards / game83.4136th207.859th
Yards / pass att.6.60108th6.9861st
Completion %49.5%136th66.4%125th
Rush yards / game271.54th175.8110th
Yards / carry5.509th4.58101st
3rd-down conv. %31.3%129th44.0%122nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th0.62133rd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8864th1.50104th
Penalty yards / game45.928th36.5131st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.8
14th of 138
YAC per catch
4.9
104th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
20%
8th of 138
Shotgun
100%
1st of 138
No-huddle
48%
83rd of 138
QB pressured
19%
12th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
109th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.9
96th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws98 throws charted

50% comp10.8 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch20% 20+ air yds4–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (3%), 2 caught (67%), 48 yds, 16.0 per throw367% · 48yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (9%), 5 caught (56%), 25 yds, 2.8 per throw956% · 25yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (14%), 7 caught (50%), 51 yds, 3.6 per throw1450% · 51yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (6%), 3 caught (50%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw650% · 37yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 40 yds, 13.3 per throw333% · 40yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (3%), 3 caught (100%), -7 yds, -2.3 per throw3100% · -7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: noneMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 2 caught (50%), 28 yds, 7.0 per throw450% · 28yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (5%), 3 caught (60%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw560% · 35yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (5%), 4 caught (80%), 85 yds, 17.0 per throw580% · 85yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (9%), 3 caught (33%), 121 yds, 13.4 per throw933% · 121yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 2 throws (2%), 2 caught (100%), 1 yds, 0.5 per throw2100% · 1yRight, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (9%), 6 caught (67%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw967% · 61yRight, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (10%), 4 caught (40%), 30 yds, 3.0 per throw1040% · 30yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 15 yds, 15.0 per throw1100% · 15yRight, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 38 yds, 38.0 per throw1100% · 38yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (2%), 1 caught (50%), 30 yds, 15.0 per throw250% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on232 throws charted

66% comp8.7 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds16–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (8%), 19 caught (100%), 83 yds, 4.4 per throw19100% · 83yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 13 caught (65%), 89 yds, 4.5 per throw2065% · 89yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 12 caught (55%), 96 yds, 4.4 per throw2255% · 96yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 145 yds, 11.2 per throw1385% · 145yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 35 yds, 11.7 per throw367% · 35yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 167 yds, 16.7 per throw1050% · 167yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 30 yds, 7.5 per throw425% · 30yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 30 yds, 7.5 per throw4100% · 30yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 33 yds, 5.5 per throw667% · 33yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 22 yds, 3.1 per throw743% · 22yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 19 yds, 4.8 per throw425% · 19yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 51 yds, 12.8 per throw475% · 51yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 68 yds, 34.0 per throw250% · 68yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (8%), 17 caught (89%), 82 yds, 4.3 per throw1989% · 82yRight, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (13%), 25 caught (81%), 164 yds, 5.3 per throw3181% · 164yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 18 caught (86%), 197 yds, 9.4 per throw2186% · 197yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 78 yds, 7.8 per throw1060% · 78yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 91 yds, 9.1 per throw1050% · 91yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 98 yds, 8.2 per throw1233% · 98yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 39 yds, 5.6 per throw714% · 39y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction367 carries

Left
26%
7.6 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
59%
5.1 YPC · 47% succ.
Right
15%
7.2 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced281 carries

Left
19%
5.2 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
59%
4.3 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
22%
8.3 YPC · 63% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Scott Abell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Lucas ScheerhornQBSO6' 0"200Spring, TX
4Gael OchoaQBSO6' 1"197El Paso, TX
11Jacurri BrownQBSR6' 4"227Valdosta, GA
14Ayden WilhelmQBFR6' 1"188Lee's Summit, MO
15Patrick Crayton Jr.QBFR6' 0"201Lewisville, TX
10Quinton JacksonRBSR5' 9"175Fort Worth, TX
26Tyvonn ByarsRBSO5' 10"217Montgomery, TX
27Dionne SimsRBFR5' 10"160Humble, TX
28D'Andre Hardeman Jr.RBSO5' 8"197Houston, TX
30Carson MorganRBJR6' 0"215Bentonville, AR
33Justin PowellRBFR6' 0"210Lyons, GA
0Payton MatthewsWRSO5' 11"185San Antonio, TX
5Davis LaneWRSR6' 1"201Lynchburg, VA
6Ben GriceWRSO5' 11"194Atlanta, GA
7Barry Jackson Jr.WRJR5' 11"198Ellenwood, GA
8Colin LeaheyWRFR6' 0"192Magnolia, TX
13Max MoseyWRSR6' 0"200Harrisburg, PA
17Jake RendaWRSR6' 5"225Princeton, NJ
18Owen CarterWRSO6' 2"215Cypress, TX
19Jordan ClarkWRFR5' 10"187Manor, TX
21Sawyer RiceWRFR6' 1"198Duncan, OK
22Michael SiffordWRFR5' 11"164Newton, NC
23Chris BruceWRJR6' 3"201Buda, TX
24Larry DeBose IVWRSO5' 9"168Conroe, TX
29Jai Jacobs-FordWRFR5' 11"170Blytheville, AR
81Braylen WalkerWRSR5' 10"181Sulphur, LA
83Jackson RanucciWRSO5' 11"185Houston, TX
88Keenan Arcega-WhitesideWRFR6' 3"209Spartanburg, SC
89Preston JacksonWRFR5' 11"175Forney, TX
25Rhys PhillipsTESO6' 2"234Katy, TX
41Preston HealyTEFR6' 2"236Frisco, TX
82Colten ColeTEFR6' 3"242Sulphur, OK
84Will SwartzTEFR6' 2"255Huffman, TX
86James FalkTEJR6' 6"250Springfield, PA
87Jackson DeAtleyTEFR6' 1"258Lake Jackson, TX
50Patrick ValentOLJR6' 2"330Warren, OH
53Luke MillerOLSO6' 3"304Round Rock, TX
56Nate BledsoeOLJR6' 2"315Collierville, TN
57Leyonte ChandlerOLFR6' 3"265Euless, TX
58Peyton FarmerOLJR6' 6"300Fresno, TX
59Colter AlberdingOLFR6' 2"315Allen, TX
60Leo BluhmOLSR6' 4"315Saint Peter, MN
62Cullen WittOLSO6' 2"291Houston, TX
67Luke NeedhamOLJR6' 3"320Germantown, TN
68Scott BeckerOLSR6' 2"309Briarcliff Manor, NY
70Bennett EivensOLFR6' 4"275Austin, TX
71Cole PrincipeOLSO6' 3"310Brea, CA
73Justin MichaelisOLFR6' 3"321Park City, UT
74Clay MitchellOLFR6' 2"308Sinton, TX
76Marcus Page Jr.OLFR6' 6"307Forney, TX
77Ian BothwellOLFR6' 3"325Fort Worth, TX
78Erben BirkhoffOLFR6' 3"321Katy, TX
2Jo ChavezDLJR6' 0"194Folsom, CA
8Joseph MutomboDLJR6' 3"271Fort Worth, TX
11Christopher Clark-JolivetDLJR6' 1"295Houston, TX
15Matthew AribisalaDLSR6' 2"308Cedar Hill, TX
16Chibby NwajuakuDLSR6' 2"246Cypress, TX
21JD SingletaryDLFR6' 0"221Middletown, OH
25Caden VerMaasDLFR5' 11"190Omaha, NE
43Ian HarrellDLFR6' 0"315Huntsville, AL
57Aquantis ClemmonsDLJR5' 10"286Atlanta, GA
88Tyler LavallierDLFR6' 1"295Royal, TX
91DD OliverDLFR6' 3"280Bossier City, LA
92Luca AkirtavaDLFR6' 1"267Frisco, TX
93Quincy TchikouDLFR6' 3"253Cypress, TX
94Braden BaysDLFR6' 1"269Boerne, TX
95Brock ReddicDLSO6' 4"320White Oak, TX
96Dillan BottsDLSR6' 1"286Houston, TX
97Chris KnaulsDLFR6' 2"272Frisco, TX
98Robert RooksDLFR6' 1"291Petaluma, CA
13Tariq MayLBSR6' 2"244Baltimore, MD
14Beau BartonLBJR6' 2"205Van, TX
33Stone CombsLBSR6' 1"227Park City, UT
34Kaleb BlantonLBSO6' 1"226Manvel, TX
40Jayden CupittLBFR6' 0"224Mansfield, TX
42DeReyon JenkinsLBFR6' 4"224Slidell, LA
44Cooper KingLBJR5' 10"211Houston, TX
54Austin HarnetiauxLBSR6' 2"228Seattle, WA
56Seth ClarkeLBFR6' 0"215Jackson, NJ
1Zach CodyCBSO5' 11"172Coppell, TX
4Tariq WatsonCBSR5' 10"181Gretna, LA
5Jerrick HarperCBSR6' 0"191Silsbee, TX
10Kyren CondollCBSO6' 1"186Fontana, CA
12Jamir BenjaminCBSO5' 10"185Lansing, MI
24Jordan MitchellCBFR5' 10"165Missouri City, TX
35Elijah BrownCBFR5' 10"165Baytown, TX
0Daveon HookSSR6' 1"190Cibolo, TX
3Koa AkuiSSR5' 10"193Hilo, HI
6Dylan StephensSSO6' 0"185Dallas, TX
7AJ BrownSSR6' 0"188Marietta, GA
18Ahran OgborSSO5' 10"205Spring, TX
20Bailey FletcherSSO5' 11"190San Antonio, TX
27Michael Amey IIISFR6' 0"195Missouri City, TX
32Seth BrownSFR6' 0"180Valdosta, GA
36Austin LeeSFR5' 11"165Missouri City, TX
28Enock GotaPKSR6' 0"209Houston, TX
49Tommy BauchieroPKFR5' 11"197Brentwood, TN
29Charlie DurkinPSR6' 0"190Akron, OH
51Phoenix DerichsweilerLSFR6' 2"216Dallas, TX
52Morrow EvansLSSO6' 1"227Houston, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (-0.6, #66) · worst: 2018 (-18.0, #128)
-20-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#126
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-70-4#117-14.1-7.8-6.3
20255-82-6#126-11.8-9.0-2.8
20244-83-5#104-6.3-5.2-1.1
20236-74-4#86-3.80.0-3.8
20225-83-5#116-9.3-4.6-4.7
20214-83-5#113-10.1-6.2-3.9
20202-32-3#79-1.7-6.6+4.8
20193-93-5#116-10.4-9.4-1.0
20182-111-7#128-18.0-10.2-7.8
20171-111-7#124-16.5-9.6-6.9
20163-92-6#120-12.7-4.5-8.2
20155-73-5#106-10.3-4.3-6.0
20148-55-3#66-0.6-0.4-0.2

Rice's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →