The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 62–28 | +3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 107Arkansas State | L 24–28 | -8.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 100Oklahoma State | L 10–45 | -35.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 109Louisiana Tech | W 23–20 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 89North TexasCONF | L 20–52 | -27.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 31ArmyCONF | L 7–49 | -26.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 127TempleCONF | L 10–20 | -20.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 72UTSACONF | W 46–45 | -1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 115UABCONF | L 21–59 | -35.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 79East CarolinaCONF | L 31–38 | -11.9 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 80South FloridaCONF | L 30–63 | -27.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 117Florida AtlanticCONF | L 16–63 | -44.4 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 31.7% | 132nd | 41.8% | 66th |
| Rushing success rate | 35.0% | 129th | 38.5% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 28.8% | 133rd | 44.9% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 105th | 14.2% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 90th | 14.7% | 132nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.03 | 91st | 2.85 | 30th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.3% | 112th | 32.7% | 14th |
| Stuff rate | 16.8% | 68th | 21.0% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 32nd | 4.4% | 101st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 28.6% | 133rd | 40.7% | 80th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 100th | 81.2% | 132nd |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 31st | 6.5% | 112th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.8 | 89th | 44.0 | 133rd |
| Yards / game | 389.7 | 62nd | 496.8 | 132nd |
| Yards / play | 5.11 | 104th | 6.92 | 134th |
| Pass yards / game | 238.6 | 52nd | 306.5 | 134th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.54 | 119th | 9.58 | 134th |
| Completion % | 56.6% | 111th | 65.9% | 123rd |
| Rush yards / game | 151.1 | 80th | 180.8 | 104th |
| Yards / carry | 4.02 | 87th | 4.85 | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.7% | 101st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.92 | 124th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 78th | 1.58 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.0 | 68th | — | — |
76 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →