The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 77UConn | W 50–7 | +27.0 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 90Michigan StateCONF | L 24–27 | -9.6 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 87Virginia | W 27–13 | +13.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Villanova FCS | W 38–20 | -6.2 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 8IndianaCONF | L 28–42 | +2.4 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 91NorthwesternCONF | L 10–37 | -31.9 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 18USCCONF | W 29–28 | +7.2 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 26MinnesotaCONF | L 23–48 | -14.3 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 6OregonCONF | L 18–39 | -2.6 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 52RutgersCONF | L 17–31 | -14.0 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 21IowaCONF | L 13–29 | -10.7 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 4Penn StateCONF | L 7–44 | -9.6 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.8% | 96th | 42.9% | 83rd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.8% | 103rd | 42.0% | 55th |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 68th | 43.9% | 102nd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.5% | 115th | 12.9% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 125th | 10.4% | 71st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.92 | 103rd | 2.72 | 15th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.5% | 111th | 35.7% | 44th |
| Stuff rate | 17.8% | 83rd | 19.4% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 47th | 3.6% | 122nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.9% | 83rd | 42.5% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.1% | 68th | 68.3% | 101st |
| Havoc rate | 7.8% | 58th | 8.8% | 56th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.7 | 102nd | 30.4 | 104th |
| Yards / game | 386.3 | 67th | 378.1 | 81st |
| Yards / play | 5.21 | 95th | 5.50 | 75th |
| Pass yards / game | 275.7 | 17th | 233.5 | 108th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.70 | 106th | 7.54 | 89th |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 39th | 62.5% | 93rd |
| Rush yards / game | 110.6 | 116th | 136.8 | 46th |
| Yards / carry | 3.59 | 110th | 3.84 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.4% | 75th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 102nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 78th | 1.17 | 128th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.6 | 96th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →