
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 56Miami (OH) | W 13–6 | +5.9 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 53Duke | L 20–26 | -6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Eastern Illinois FCS | W 31–7 | -0.2 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 42WashingtonCONF | L 5–24 | -12.2 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 8IndianaCONF | L 24–41 | -6.0 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 81MarylandCONF | W 37–10 | +25.1 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 58WisconsinCONF | L 3–23 | -21.4 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 21IowaCONF | L 14–40 | -14.0 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 122PurdueCONF | W 26–20 | -1.6 | — | BTN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 1Ohio StateCONF | L 7–31 | -4.9 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 22MichiganCONF | L 6–50 | -20.3 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 37IllinoisCONFNEUTRAL | L 28–38 | -4.9 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.4% | 122nd | 45.1% | 104th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.0% | 116th | 44.1% | 76th |
| Passing success rate | 36.2% | 111th | 46.1% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.7% | 48th | 11.6% | 17th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 125th | 8.3% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 125th | 3.04 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.0% | 118th | 34.7% | 31st |
| Stuff rate | 23.0% | 129th | 19.1% | 36th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 47th | 5.0% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.1% | 112th | 43.5% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 41.7% | 130th | 56.8% | 39th |
| Havoc rate | 9.5% | 104th | 8.6% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.8 | 128th | 27.3 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 284.4 | 130th | 361.8 | 56th |
| Yards / play | 4.43 | 130th | 5.40 | 69th |
| Pass yards / game | 185.9 | 111th | 219.6 | 89th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.71 | 131st | 7.12 | 62nd |
| Completion % | 53.7% | 125th | 62.7% | 96th |
| Rush yards / game | 98.5 | 123rd | 129.9 | 37th |
| Yards / carry | 3.33 | 121st | 4.00 | 54th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.9% | 123rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 66th | 1.92 | 74th |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.3 | 11th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →