The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Weber State FCS | W 35–3 | +2.6 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 113Eastern Michigan | W 30–9 | +9.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 66Washington StateNEUTRAL | L 19–24 | -4.4 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 91NorthwesternCONF | W 24–5 | +12.1 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 52RutgersCONF | L 18–21 | +2.4 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 22MichiganCONF | W 27–17 | +15.3 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 21IowaCONF | L 16–40 | -13.3 | — | FOX |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 8IndianaCONF | L 17–31 | +2.4 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 18USCCONF | W 26–21 | +11.2 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 4Penn StateCONF | L 6–35 | -6.8 | — | Peacock |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 65UCLACONF | W 31–19 | +9.9 | — | FOX |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 6OregonCONF | L 21–49 | -7.0 | — | NBC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 14LouisvilleNEUTRAL | L 34–35 | +9.7 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 35th | 42.6% | 76th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.0% | 37th | 48.5% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 44.3% | 37th | 36.4% | 20th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.8% | 29th | 13.3% | 49th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 75th | 7.8% | 15th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 20th | 3.38 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.2% | 69th | 38.5% | 77th |
| Stuff rate | 12.5% | 16th | 12.8% | 120th |
| Sack rate | 7.2% | 102nd | 4.5% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.8% | 73rd | 46.5% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.5% | 95th | 64.3% | 84th |
| Havoc rate | 7.6% | 54th | 4.9% | 133rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.4 | 105th | 23.8 | 48th |
| Yards / game | 390.5 | 61st | 328.4 | 28th |
| Yards / play | 5.77 | 57th | 4.98 | 37th |
| Pass yards / game | 261.7 | 32nd | 155.2 | 5th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.16 | 26th | 5.74 | 2nd |
| Completion % | 72.4% | 3rd | 55.7% | 12th |
| Rush yards / game | 128.8 | 100th | 161.8 | 87th |
| Yards / carry | 3.96 | 91st | 4.56 | 89th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.5% | 102nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 21st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 117th | 1.54 | 109th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 73rd | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →