The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 85Fresno State | W 30–10 | +14.3 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 3Texas | L 12–31 | -4.5 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 107Arkansas State | W 28–18 | -0.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 18USCCONF | W 27–24 | +9.2 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 26MinnesotaCONF | W 27–24 | +7.6 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 42WashingtonCONF | L 17–27 | -3.2 | — | NBC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 37IllinoisCONF | L 7–21 | -6.2 | — | CBS |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 90Michigan StateCONF | W 24–17 | +0.4 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 6OregonCONF | L 17–38 | -8.0 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 8IndianaCONF | L 15–20 | +11.4 | — | CBS |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 91NorthwesternCONF | W 50–6 | +24.1 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 1Ohio StateCONF | W 13–10 | +27.5 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 7AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 19–13 | +19.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 101st | 38.4% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.9% | 101st | 38.5% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 93rd | 38.4% | 46th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.4% | 132nd | 10.3% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.3% | 134th | 8.7% | 36th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 69th | 2.83 | 26th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.2% | 98th | 30.9% | 5th |
| Stuff rate | 13.5% | 22nd | 17.0% | 65th |
| Sack rate | 4.4% | 46th | 7.0% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.7% | 28th | 42.9% | 92nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.8% | 76th | 50.0% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 8.0% | 65th | 8.7% | 57th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.0 | 115th | 19.9 | 17th |
| Yards / game | 286.2 | 129th | 307.0 | 10th |
| Yards / play | 4.59 | 125th | 4.66 | 16th |
| Pass yards / game | 129.1 | 131st | 196.3 | 50th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.45 | 133rd | 6.45 | 28th |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 62nd | 60.1% | 61st |
| Rush yards / game | 157.2 | 73rd | 90.7 | 4th |
| Yards / carry | 4.20 | 77th | 3.06 | 8th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.8% | 54th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 79th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 26th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.5 | 14th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →