The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Howard FCS | W 44–7 | +4.4 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 119Akron | W 49–17 | +14.3 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 27Virginia Tech | W 26–23 | +12.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 42WashingtonCONF | W 21–18 | +4.4 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 39NebraskaCONF | L 7–14 | +0.6 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 58WisconsinCONF | L 7–42 | -29.3 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 65UCLACONF | L 32–35 | -5.1 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 18USCCONF | L 20–42 | -10.4 | — | FOX |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 26MinnesotaCONF | W 26–19 | +11.6 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 81MarylandCONF | W 31–17 | +14.1 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 37IllinoisCONF | L 31–38 | -4.6 | — | Peacock |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 90Michigan StateCONF | W 41–14 | +23.8 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 25Kansas StateNEUTRAL | L 41–44 | +4.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 56th | 43.9% | 95th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.2% | 74th | 49.1% | 115th |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 39th | 39.6% | 62nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 95th | 17.5% | 119th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 116th | 9.4% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 86th | 3.30 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.1% | 107th | 41.4% | 108th |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 75th | 17.2% | 61st |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 38th | 3.5% | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.7% | 28th | 43.9% | 100th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.3% | 47th | 69.4% | 106th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 18th | 5.4% | 128th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.9 | 57th | 25.4 | 67th |
| Yards / game | 382.7 | 71st | 393.9 | 95th |
| Yards / play | 5.33 | 86th | 5.99 | 106th |
| Pass yards / game | 207.4 | 92nd | 220.2 | 92nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.83 | 97th | 7.04 | 59th |
| Completion % | 53.9% | 124th | 60.0% | 56th |
| Rush yards / game | 175.3 | 45th | 162.8 | 89th |
| Yards / carry | 4.41 | 65th | 5.21 | 119th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 33rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 6th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 49th | 1.69 | 92nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 34.1 | 5th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →