
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 41–6 | +3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 32Tulane | W 34–27 | +16.2 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 102Arizona | W 31–7 | +15.9 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 19BYUCONF | L 9–38 | -14.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 42–20 | +14.1 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 33ColoradoCONF | W 31–28 | +11.9 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 76West VirginiaCONF | W 45–18 | +26.7 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 38KansasCONF | W 29–27 | +4.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 93HoustonCONF | L 19–24 | -6.8 | — | FOX |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 23Arizona StateCONF | L 14–24 | -4.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 70CincinnatiCONF | W 41–15 | +22.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 30Iowa StateCONF | L 21–29 | +1.6 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 52RutgersNEUTRAL | W 44–41 | +5.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.4% | 48th | 36.3% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.9% | 39th | 35.1% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 54th | 37.4% | 31st |
| Explosive run rate | 22.7% | 1st | 12.1% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 75th | 10.2% | 66th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.35 | 30th | 2.66 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.9% | 13th | 31.0% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 96th | 23.3% | 10th |
| Sack rate | 2.7% | 11th | 6.3% | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 48th | 40.5% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 49th | 57.9% | 49th |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 41st | 10.5% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.0 | 44th | 23.4 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 426.9 | 31st | 343.4 | 43rd |
| Yards / play | 6.47 | 10th | 5.05 | 41st |
| Pass yards / game | 211.4 | 85th | 205.5 | 67th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.17 | 77th | 7.02 | 57th |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 102nd | 58.6% | 38th |
| Rush yards / game | 215.5 | 11th | 118.7 | 28th |
| Yards / carry | 6.08 | 2nd | 3.56 | 24th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.2% | 60th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 45th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 10th | 2.69 | 26th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.7 | 37th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →