The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 121New Mexico | W 61–39 | +9.1 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Northern Arizona FCS | W 22–10 | -12.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 25Kansas State | L 7–31 | -14.0 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 57UtahCONF | W 23–10 | +17.1 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 62Texas TechCONF | L 22–28 | -7.9 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 19BYUCONF | L 19–41 | -10.7 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 33ColoradoCONF | L 7–34 | -21.6 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 76West VirginiaCONF | L 26–31 | -8.7 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 59UCFCONF | L 12–56 | -27.1 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 93HoustonCONF | W 27–3 | +16.8 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 34TCUCONF | L 28–49 | -13.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 23Arizona StateCONF | L 7–49 | -25.1 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.3% | 113th | 45.0% | 102nd |
| Rushing success rate | 36.5% | 125th | 45.5% | 89th |
| Passing success rate | 39.4% | 88th | 44.6% | 107th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.1% | 27th | 15.8% | 95th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 110th | 11.4% | 99th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 126th | 3.33 | 103rd |
| Opportunity rate | 34.1% | 116th | 40.8% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 26.2% | 134th | 15.0% | 95th |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 57th | 5.1% | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 59th | 43.8% | 99th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.9% | 82nd | 71.1% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 8.5% | 82nd | 7.0% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.8 | 116th | 31.8 | 108th |
| Yards / game | 353.8 | 96th | 414.3 | 108th |
| Yards / play | 5.31 | 88th | 6.17 | 115th |
| Pass yards / game | 247.9 | 42nd | 226.5 | 103rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.81 | 99th | 8.08 | 115th |
| Completion % | 60.0% | 85th | 63.7% | 107th |
| Rush yards / game | 105.8 | 120th | 175.3 | 99th |
| Yards / carry | 3.79 | 97th | 4.89 | 106th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.9% | 42nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 102nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 91st | 1.75 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.6 | 92nd | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →