The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs New Hampshire FCS | W 57–3 | +10.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 83Sam Houston | W 45–14 | +21.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 34TCUCONF | W 35–34 | +9.0 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 33ColoradoCONF | L 21–48 | -21.6 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 24Florida | L 13–24 | -0.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 70CincinnatiCONF | L 13–19 | -8.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 30Iowa StateCONF | L 35–38 | +6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 19BYUCONF | L 24–37 | -7.1 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 102ArizonaCONF | W 56–12 | +22.9 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 23Arizona StateCONF | L 31–35 | +6.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 76West VirginiaCONF | L 21–31 | -8.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 57UtahCONF | L 14–28 | -15.3 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 20th | 41.0% | 55th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.9% | 6th | 37.6% | 10th |
| Passing success rate | 38.7% | 100th | 44.1% | 104th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.3% | 6th | 11.2% | 15th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 39th | 9.6% | 54th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.71 | 2nd | 2.77 | 21st |
| Opportunity rate | 46.0% | 5th | 34.6% | 29th |
| Stuff rate | 12.4% | 13th | 21.1% | 19th |
| Sack rate | 8.0% | 122nd | 4.1% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.2% | 40th | 46.9% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.7% | 21st | 61.5% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 8.5% | 82nd | 9.1% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.4 | 49th | 26.9 | 81st |
| Yards / game | 447.8 | 14th | 339.0 | 37th |
| Yards / play | 6.28 | 19th | 5.02 | 38th |
| Pass yards / game | 199.7 | 97th | 206.2 | 68th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.70 | 41st | 6.98 | 54th |
| Completion % | 58.2% | 101st | 64.9% | 116th |
| Rush yards / game | 248.1 | 5th | 120.3 | 29th |
| Yards / carry | 5.77 | 4th | 3.50 | 20th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.6% | 56th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 93rd | 1.83 | 79th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.4 | 87th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →