The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Southern Utah FCS | W 49–0 | +8.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 40Baylor | W 23–12 | +13.0 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 112Utah State | W 38–21 | +11.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 22–19 | +0.5 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 102ArizonaCONF | L 10–23 | -21.1 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 23Arizona StateCONF | L 19–27 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 34TCUCONF | L 7–13 | -3.4 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 93HoustonCONF | L 14–17 | -4.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 19BYUCONF | L 21–22 | +4.9 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 33ColoradoCONF | L 24–49 | -15.5 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 30Iowa StateCONF | L 28–31 | +1.2 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 59UCFCONF | W 28–14 | +17.9 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.5% | 120th | 36.2% | 4th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.2% | 113th | 37.8% | 11th |
| Passing success rate | 35.8% | 115th | 34.7% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.4% | 88th | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.8% | 78th | 10.7% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 107th | 2.74 | 16th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.8% | 103rd | 36.5% | 53rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.6% | 113th | 25.4% | 1st |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 64th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.8% | 120th | 28.0% | 3rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 45.7% | 126th | 56.7% | 38th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 122nd | 10.2% | 21st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.3 | 106th | 20.7 | 20th |
| Yards / game | 329.8 | 116th | 329.7 | 29th |
| Yards / play | 5.04 | 110th | 4.90 | 32nd |
| Pass yards / game | 199.4 | 98th | 184.7 | 39th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.68 | 108th | 6.32 | 22nd |
| Completion % | 55.6% | 117th | 52.4% | 2nd |
| Rush yards / game | 130.4 | 98th | 129.4 | 35th |
| Yards / carry | 3.88 | 94th | 3.84 | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.8% | 125th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 117th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 72nd | 2.00 | 64th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.3 | 41st | — | — |
76 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →