The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs North Dakota FCS | W 21–3 | -6.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 21Iowa | W 20–19 | +11.7 | — | CBS |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 107Arkansas State | W 52–7 | +21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 93HoustonCONF | W 20–0 | +18.2 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 40BaylorCONF | W 43–21 | +24.0 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 76West VirginiaCONF | W 28–16 | +13.7 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 59UCFCONF | W 38–35 | +1.5 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 62Texas TechCONF | L 22–23 | -2.9 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 38KansasCONF | L 36–45 | -1.4 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 70CincinnatiCONF | W 34–17 | +14.4 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 57UtahCONF | W 31–28 | +7.1 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 25Kansas StateCONF | W 29–21 | +12.6 | — | FOX |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 23Arizona StateNEUTRAL | L 19–45 | -16.8 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 10MiamiNEUTRAL | W 42–41 | +13.4 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 85th | 43.8% | 94th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.4% | 99th | 47.9% | 106th |
| Passing success rate | 41.4% | 60th | 38.9% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 85th | 17.6% | 120th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 43rd | 9.4% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 108th | 3.29 | 94th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.2% | 115th | 43.2% | 118th |
| Stuff rate | 20.7% | 116th | 18.0% | 46th |
| Sack rate | 3.1% | 21st | 2.2% | 131st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 44th | 40.6% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.5% | 57th | 63.6% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 7.2% | 44th | 8.4% | 64th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 36th | 24.2 | 55th |
| Yards / game | 416.2 | 39th | 353.9 | 51st |
| Yards / play | 5.80 | 54th | 5.62 | 85th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.7 | 39th | 157.6 | 8th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.57 | 53rd | 6.23 | 18th |
| Completion % | 58.6% | 96th | 52.7% | 3rd |
| Rush yards / game | 160.5 | 70th | 188.4 | 110th |
| Yards / carry | 4.36 | 72nd | 5.35 | 126th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.7% | 44th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 31st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.14 | 16th | 1.14 | 130th |
| Penalty yards / game | 28.0 | 1st | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →