The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 29UNLV | L 7–27 | -15.6 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 35Oklahoma | L 12–16 | +4.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 104Rice | W 33–7 | +15.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 70CincinnatiCONF | L 0–34 | -24.7 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 30Iowa StateCONF | L 0–20 | -15.8 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 34TCUCONF | W 30–19 | +19.0 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 38KansasCONF | L 14–42 | -17.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 57UtahCONF | W 17–14 | +1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 25Kansas StateCONF | W 24–19 | +9.6 | — | FOX |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 102ArizonaCONF | L 3–27 | -26.7 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 40BaylorCONF | L 10–20 | -8.0 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 19BYUCONF | L 18–30 | -0.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.5% | 128th | 39.9% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 35.2% | 128th | 40.8% | 42nd |
| Passing success rate | 35.9% | 114th | 39.0% | 54th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.6% | 102nd | 12.1% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.9% | 111th | 9.0% | 40th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 118th | 2.96 | 45th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.0% | 124th | 36.1% | 48th |
| Stuff rate | 20.1% | 110th | 18.6% | 39th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 104th | 5.2% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.1% | 130th | 37.2% | 41st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 31.8% | 134th | 67.7% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 12.1% | 132nd | 9.6% | 34th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 14.0 | 133rd | 23.1 | 39th |
| Yards / game | 287.5 | 128th | 324.0 | 25th |
| Yards / play | 4.64 | 121st | 5.06 | 42nd |
| Pass yards / game | 152.7 | 126th | 179.8 | 32nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.54 | 118th | 6.80 | 46th |
| Completion % | 65.0% | 29th | 59.8% | 54th |
| Rush yards / game | 134.8 | 91st | 135.2 | 43rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.76 | 99th | 3.90 | 46th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 27.6% | 132nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.25 | 132nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.75 | 108th | 1.67 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.9 | 76th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →