The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 93Houston | W 27–7 | +18.2 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Utah Tech FCS | W 72–14 | +11.7 | — | MWN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 38Kansas | W 23–20 | +10.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 85Fresno StateCONF | W 59–14 | +25.6 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 47Syracuse | L 41–44 | -2.0 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 112Utah StateCONF | W 50–34 | +10.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 99Oregon State | W 33–25 | +5.6 | — | CW |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 17Boise StateCONF | L 24–29 | +1.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 110Hawai'iCONF | W 29–27 | -3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 124San Diego StateCONF | W 41–20 | +6.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 88San José StateCONF | W 27–16 | +10.0 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 111NevadaCONF | W 38–14 | +13.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | @ 17Boise State | L 7–21 | -1.9 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 67CaliforniaNEUTRAL | W 24–13 | +11.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 87th | 36.9% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.3% | 93rd | 39.8% | 31st |
| Passing success rate | 39.8% | 84th | 34.7% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.9% | 28th | 14.3% | 69th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.0% | 33rd | 8.1% | 20th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.35 | 28th | 2.86 | 33rd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.3% | 25th | 36.1% | 48th |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 46th | 21.3% | 16th |
| Sack rate | 8.6% | 127th | 6.7% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.1% | 71st | 32.6% | 7th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 49.2% | 122nd | 51.9% | 22nd |
| Havoc rate | 8.6% | 85th | 10.1% | 24th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.4 | 19th | 21.3 | 25th |
| Yards / game | 416.1 | 40th | 350.9 | 48th |
| Yards / play | 6.04 | 37th | 4.83 | 26th |
| Pass yards / game | 172.6 | 121st | 215.6 | 88th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.82 | 35th | 6.39 | 24th |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 104th | 57.3% | 20th |
| Rush yards / game | 243.5 | 7th | 115.0 | 23rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.47 | 13th | 3.52 | 21st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.64 | 3rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 86th | 3.00 | 12th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.2 | 56th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →