The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 31–13 | -6.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 48Auburn | W 21–14 | +13.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 124San Diego State | W 31–10 | +6.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 96Florida StateCONF | L 9–14 | -7.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 10MiamiCONF | L 38–39 | +8.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 64PittsburghCONF | L 15–17 | +1.3 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 78NC StateCONF | L 23–24 | -5.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 99Oregon State | W 44–7 | +20.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 97Wake ForestCONF | W 46–36 | +7.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 47SyracuseCONF | L 25–33 | -7.0 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 105StanfordCONF | W 24–21 | -6.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 11SMUCONF | L 6–38 | -12.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 29UNLVNEUTRAL | L 13–24 | -3.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.0% | 93rd | 39.9% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.3% | 112th | 41.9% | 54th |
| Passing success rate | 42.2% | 48th | 38.1% | 40th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 101st | 12.2% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.9% | 99th | 9.2% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.71 | 127th | 3.01 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 100th | 39.4% | 86th |
| Stuff rate | 20.8% | 119th | 17.0% | 65th |
| Sack rate | 9.0% | 128th | 7.5% | 19th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.3% | 86th | 35.2% | 19th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.4% | 114th | 74.2% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 10.7% | 118th | 9.3% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.2 | 93rd | 22.3 | 31st |
| Yards / game | 380.1 | 74th | 337.5 | 36th |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 98th | 4.81 | 25th |
| Pass yards / game | 258.6 | 37th | 211.6 | 82nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.25 | 72nd | 6.70 | 41st |
| Completion % | 65.1% | 27th | 56.6% | 19th |
| Rush yards / game | 121.5 | 103rd | 109.8 | 13th |
| Yards / carry | 3.56 | 112th | 3.27 | 15th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.1% | 97th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.85 | 17th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.92 | 133rd | 2.62 | 30th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.7 | 100th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →