The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 96Florida StateCONF | W 28–13 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Duquesne FCS | W 56–0 | +11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 28Missouri | L 21–27 | +3.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 90Michigan State | W 23–19 | -2.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 82Western Kentucky | W 21–20 | -4.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 87VirginiaCONF | L 14–24 | -10.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 27Virginia TechCONF | L 21–42 | -11.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 14LouisvilleCONF | L 27–31 | +4.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 47SyracuseCONF | W 37–31 | +7.0 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 11SMUCONF | L 28–38 | +4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 71North CarolinaCONF | W 41–21 | +17.3 | — | CW |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 64PittsburghCONF | W 34–23 | +8.9 | — | CW |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 39NebraskaNEUTRAL | L 15–20 | -0.1 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.6% | 82nd | 42.8% | 81st |
| Rushing success rate | 41.5% | 98th | 39.1% | 24th |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 54th | 45.7% | 116th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 81st | 12.3% | 27th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.1% | 16th | 8.2% | 23rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 88th | 2.77 | 20th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 109th | 32.9% | 16th |
| Stuff rate | 17.0% | 71st | 18.3% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 113th | 5.9% | 52nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.4% | 39th | 38.8% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.2% | 59th | 56.5% | 37th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 91st | 9.6% | 34th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.0 | 69th | 23.8 | 48th |
| Yards / game | 365.7 | 90th | 360.7 | 55th |
| Yards / play | 5.34 | 85th | 5.30 | 59th |
| Pass yards / game | 199.3 | 99th | 231.0 | 106th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.85 | 34th | 7.25 | 71st |
| Completion % | 62.7% | 51st | 61.5% | 83rd |
| Rush yards / game | 166.4 | 59th | 114.9 | 22nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.09 | 83rd | 3.62 | 26th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.3% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 45th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 94th | 2.38 | 42nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.1 | 22nd | — | — |
75 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →