
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 7Alabama | L 0–63 | -21.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 31–0 | +2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 130Middle TennesseeCONF | W 49–21 | +11.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 73Toledo | W 26–21 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 54Boston College | L 20–21 | +3.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 128UTEPCONF | W 44–17 | +7.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 16 | @ 83Sam HoustonCONF | W 31–14 | +17.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | vs 132Kennesaw StateCONF | W 31–14 | -3.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 41–28 | +0.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 109Louisiana TechCONF | L 7–12 | -15.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 84LibertyCONF | L 21–38 | -17.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 61Jacksonville StateCONF | W 19–17 | +0.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 6 | @ 61Jacksonville State | L 12–52 | -26.0 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 46James MadisonNEUTRAL | L 17–27 | -6.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.4% | 72nd | 45.0% | 102nd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.6% | 110th | 48.5% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 31st | 39.0% | 54th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.3% | 117th | 16.6% | 110th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 39th | 11.0% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 97th | 3.47 | 123rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.3% | 96th | 40.9% | 102nd |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 98th | 11.5% | 128th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 52nd | 5.7% | 56th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.6% | 30th | 46.3% | 108th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.2% | 92nd | 62.9% | 74th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 50th | 6.4% | 113th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.2 | 81st | 25.1 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 373.9 | 82nd | 397.3 | 97th |
| Yards / play | 5.59 | 70th | 5.78 | 92nd |
| Pass yards / game | 264.6 | 25th | 167.8 | 17th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.88 | 33rd | 7.68 | 94th |
| Completion % | 65.8% | 19th | 60.8% | 69th |
| Rush yards / game | 109.3 | 118th | 221.2 | 131st |
| Yards / carry | 3.48 | 118th | 5.00 | 110th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.5% | 58th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.71 | 110th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 64th | 1.57 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.3 | 17th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →