The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 23Arizona State | L 7–48 | -19.3 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Idaho FCS | L 13–17 | -28.2 | — | truTV |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 19BYU | L 14–34 | -14.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 89North Texas | L 17–44 | -26.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 106Air ForceCONF | W 31–19 | +2.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 124San Diego StateCONF | L 24–27 | -17.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 88San José StateCONF | L 14–24 | -11.0 | — | NBC Sports BA |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 112Utah StateCONF | L 25–27 | -12.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 121New MexicoCONF | W 49–45 | -3.5 | — | truTV |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 98Colorado StateCONF | L 10–24 | -16.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 17Boise StateCONF | L 13–17 | +2.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 66Washington State | W 15–14 | +4.3 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.3% | 126th | 42.6% | 76th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.9% | 117th | 43.2% | 68th |
| Passing success rate | 33.4% | 121st | 42.0% | 88th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.4% | 126th | 18.8% | 128th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 56th | 11.1% | 91st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.87 | 113th | 3.19 | 80th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.9% | 120th | 41.3% | 107th |
| Stuff rate | 19.3% | 104th | 17.4% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 7.1% | 101st | 3.5% | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.1% | 95th | 23.8% | 1st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.6% | 94th | 59.5% | 56th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 102nd | 7.4% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.5 | 122nd | 28.5 | 89th |
| Yards / game | 327.3 | 119th | 410.6 | 103rd |
| Yards / play | 4.71 | 120th | 6.34 | 122nd |
| Pass yards / game | 189.4 | 107th | 211.1 | 80th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.55 | 117th | 7.68 | 96th |
| Completion % | 52.2% | 129th | 61.7% | 85th |
| Rush yards / game | 137.8 | 88th | 191.7 | 112th |
| Yards / carry | 3.60 | 109th | 5.48 | 130th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.5% | 103rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 84th | 1.25 | 126th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.8 | 60th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →