The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 16ClemsonNEUTRAL | W 34–3 | +36.0 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Tennessee Tech FCS | W 48–3 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 60KentuckyCONF | W 13–12 | +4.8 | — | ABC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 7AlabamaCONF | L 34–41 | +9.6 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 48AuburnCONF | W 31–13 | +18.6 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 92Mississippi StateCONF | W 41–31 | +3.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 3TexasCONF | W 30–15 | +34.9 | — | ABC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 24FloridaCONFNEUTRAL | W 34–20 | +21.6 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 5Ole MissCONF | L 10–28 | +0.7 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 12TennesseeCONF | W 31–17 | +22.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 126Massachusetts | W 59–21 | +13.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 44Georgia Tech | W 44–42 | +3.1 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 3TexasNEUTRAL | W 22–19 | +20.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 2Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 10–23 | +6.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.6% | 7th | 40.5% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.0% | 15th | 41.3% | 47th |
| Passing success rate | 49.4% | 9th | 39.8% | 67th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.2% | 90th | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 35th | 9.3% | 50th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 89th | 3.07 | 61st |
| Opportunity rate | 41.1% | 35th | 37.9% | 65th |
| Stuff rate | 19.3% | 104th | 17.2% | 61st |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 23rd | 7.4% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.2% | 61st | 36.0% | 29th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.7% | 31st | 50.0% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 86th | 10.5% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.6 | 32nd | 22.4 | 32nd |
| Yards / game | 405.4 | 51st | 329.9 | 30th |
| Yards / play | 5.87 | 49th | 4.85 | 29th |
| Pass yards / game | 281.0 | 12th | 181.0 | 34th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.67 | 44th | 6.58 | 35th |
| Completion % | 65.5% | 22nd | 58.9% | 44th |
| Rush yards / game | 124.4 | 102nd | 129.7 | 36th |
| Yards / carry | 4.06 | 85th | 3.71 | 32nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.2% | 76th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.43 | 66th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.79 | 58th | 2.64 | 29th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.6 | 81st | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →