The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 36Kentucky | L 24–38 | -6.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Murray State FCS | W 45–0 | +9.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 107Colorado State | W 41–35 | +1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 57BYU | W 28–21 | +4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 67Western MichiganCONF | W 31–24 | +3.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 126Bowling GreenCONF | L 7–20 | -27.5 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 83Ball StateCONF | L 14–52 | -28.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 97Eastern MichiganCONF | W 37–34 | -5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | vs 96Kent StateCONF | W 35–33 | -5.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 13 | vs 111Northern IllinoisCONF | L 28–31 | -13.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 20 | @ 45BuffaloCONF | L 30–49 | -13.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 93Central MichiganCONF | L 7–49 | -31.5 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 71st | 46.5% | 112th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.3% | 76th | 47.8% | 109th |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 77th | 45.1% | 103rd |
| Explosive run rate | 18.4% | 16th | 18.8% | 122nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 69th | 13.3% | 113th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.39 | 12th | 3.18 | 98th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.5% | 14th | 42.1% | 111th |
| Stuff rate | 14.9% | 15th | 17.3% | 90th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 81st | 4.0% | 112th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.0% | 96th | 42.6% | 83rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.7% | 32nd | 65.9% | 90th |
| Havoc rate | 13.8% | 95th | 13.5% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.3 | 79th | 35.1 | 113th |
| Yards / game | 434.1 | 36th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.89 | 49th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 209.6 | 85th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.42 | 67th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.9% | 92nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 224.5 | 18th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.21 | 16th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.0% | 85th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 94th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.7 | 56th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →