The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 48Arizona State | L 7–30 | -18.5 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Kennesaw State FCS | W 26–23 | -19.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 10Auburn | L 16–55 | -13.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 126Bowling GreenCONF | W 62–20 | +10.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 6Wisconsin | L 0–48 | -14.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 129AkronCONF | W 26–3 | +2.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 58OhioCONF | L 38–45 | -4.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 87Miami (OH)CONF | L 16–23 | -13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | @ 109ToledoCONF | L 33–35 | -6.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 45BuffaloCONF | W 30–27 | +3.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 83Ball StateCONF | W 41–38 | -2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 97Eastern MichiganCONF | W 34–26 | +5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 69Utah StateNEUTRAL | W 51–41 | +8.9 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.4% | 39th | 48.1% | 122nd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.7% | 46th | 48.2% | 113th |
| Passing success rate | 45.1% | 32nd | 48.0% | 121st |
| Explosive run rate | 18.0% | 21st | 15.6% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 105th | 13.6% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 62nd | 3.28 | 114th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.2% | 26th | 41.1% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 20.2% | 88th | 15.4% | 109th |
| Sack rate | 10.3% | 121st | 6.8% | 45th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 36th | 46.1% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.2% | 109th | 60.8% | 59th |
| Havoc rate | 14.5% | 102nd | 11.8% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.7 | 47th | 30.5 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 405.6 | 66th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.57 | 73rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 218.9 | 78th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.02 | 34th | — | — |
| Completion % | 67.0% | 11th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 186.7 | 40th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.41 | 65th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.9% | 29th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 10th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.15 | 121st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.1 | 93rd | — | — |
53 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Dustin Crum | QB | ||||
| 2 | Will Matthews | RB | ||||
| 18 | Xavier Williams | RB | ||||
| 21 | Joachim Bangda | RB | ||||
| 24 | Woody Barrett | RB | ||||
| 25 | Craig Elmore | RB | ||||
| 33 | Jo-El Shaw | RB | ||||
| 3 | Kavious Price | WR | ||||
| 10 | Antwan Dixon | WR | ||||
| 11 | Mike Carrigan | WR | ||||
| 12 | Raymond James | WR | ||||
| 22 | Javaughn Williams | WR | ||||
| 23 | Isaiah McKoy | WR | ||||
| 27 | Isaac Vance | WR | ||||
| 29 | Ja'Shaun Poke | WR | ||||
| 80 | Keshunn Abram | WR | ||||
| 82 | Kwincy Hall | WR | ||||
| 86 | Dante Cephas | WR | ||||
| 13 | Keenan Orr | TE | ||||
| 45 | Adam Dulka | TE | ||||
| 85 | Mark Williams | TE | ||||
| 41 | Jabbar Price | DL | ||||
| 55 | Sekou Diaby | DL | ||||
| 59 | Will Burns | DL | ||||
| 92 | Theo Majette | DL | ||||
| 53 | Alex Hoag | DE | ||||
| 97 | Zayin West | DE | ||||
| 4 | Buddha Jones | DT | ||||
| 98 | Dominic Hill | NT | ||||
| 1 | Nick Faulkner | LB | ||||
| 4 | Cepeda Phillips | LB | ||||
| 6 | Matt Bahr | LB | ||||
| 7 | Matt Harmon | LB | ||||
| 19 | A.J. Musolino | LB | ||||
| 28 | Mandela Lawrence-Burke | LB | ||||
| 34 | Kesean Gamble | LB | ||||
| 44 | Sebastian Spear | LB | ||||
| 7 | Timarcus Davis | DB | ||||
| 32 | Dean Clark | DB | ||||
| 36 | Jeremiah Salaam | DB | ||||
| 7 | Jamal Parker | CB | ||||
| 8 | Elvis Hines | CB | ||||
| 15 | Keith Sherald Jr. | CB | ||||
| 20 | Mario Nunez | CB | ||||
| 20 | Montre Miller | CB | ||||
| 39 | Miles Daniel | CB | ||||
| 11 | Akeam Peters | S | ||||
| 24 | Qwuantrezz Knight | S | ||||
| 26 | Richie Carpenter Jr. | S | ||||
| 95 | Matthew Trickett | PK | ||||
| 96 | Derek Adams | P | ||||
| 14 | John Henry Bronczek | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →