MAC · 2019 · Final

Bowling Green Falcons 2019

3-92-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#126
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-17.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-11.3
129th in FBS
Defense
-5.8
112th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
93rd toughest
Preseason
-7.7
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-17.1 now, -7.7 preseason · down 2 spots since preseason
-20-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#126

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vsMorgan State FCSW 46–3+8.3—ESPN3
2Sep 7@35Kansas StateL 0–52-26.0—
3Sep 14vs62Louisiana TechL 7–35-28.5—ESPN+
4Sep 21@96Kent StateCONFL 20–62-32.8—ESPN3
5—Bye
6Oct 5@8Notre DameL 0–52-16.6—NBC
7Oct 12vs109ToledoCONFW 20–7+2.9—
8Oct 19vs93Central MichiganCONFL 20–38-24.5—ESPN3
9Oct 26@67Western MichiganCONFL 10–49-27.5—ESPN3
10Nov 2vs129AkronCONFW 35–6-0.5—ESPN+
11—Bye
12Nov 13@87Miami (OH)CONFL 3–44-30.8—ESPNU
13Nov 19vs58OhioCONFL 24–66-32.8—ESPNU
14Nov 29@45BuffaloCONFL 7–49-25.0—ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.4%110th46.3%111th
Rushing success rate43.5%72nd44.2%77th
Passing success rate31.9%125th48.7%124th
Explosive run rate11.5%119th17.2%106th
Explosive pass rate7.1%126th13.4%115th
Line yards / carry2.9180th3.1596th
Opportunity rate37.9%75th42.0%110th
Stuff rate19.4%77th17.5%83rd
Sack rate3.6%18th7.6%29th
3rd-down conversion37.0%100th42.9%88th
Red-zone TD rate57.1%88th62.2%67th
Havoc rate12.9%72nd13.0%62nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.2121st35.9115th
Yards / game319.1120th——
Yards / play4.49123rd——
Pass yards / game157.3120th——
Yards / pass att.5.60126th——
Completion %56.1%98th——
Rush yards / game161.865th——
Yards / carry3.8794th——
3rd-down conv. %33.1%114th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.75101st——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.178th——
Penalty yards / game59.288th——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →