The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCSNEUTRAL | W 70–0 | +18.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 100Oklahoma State | L 31–39 | -10.5 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 115UAB | W 37–27 | -1.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 48AuburnCONF | W 24–14 | +16.0 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 20Texas A&MCONFNEUTRAL | L 17–21 | +4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 12TennesseeCONF | W 19–14 | +13.6 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 15LSUCONF | L 10–34 | -17.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 92Mississippi StateCONF | W 58–25 | +25.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 5Ole MissCONF | L 31–63 | -13.5 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 3TexasCONF | L 10–20 | +4.5 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 109Louisiana Tech | W 35–14 | +10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 28MissouriCONF | L 21–28 | +2.9 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 62Texas TechNEUTRAL | W 39–26 | +13.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.5% | 8th | 42.1% | 70th |
| Rushing success rate | 54.3% | 4th | 39.2% | 26th |
| Passing success rate | 44.6% | 33rd | 44.9% | 111th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.9% | 4th | 8.7% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 30th | 8.4% | 27th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.28 | 40th | 2.86 | 32nd |
| Opportunity rate | 45.9% | 6th | 31.3% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 17.9% | 85th | 14.4% | 102nd |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 97th | 5.2% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.6% | 46th | 36.7% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.0% | 52nd | 58.1% | 50th |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 113th | 8.2% | 69th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.9 | 45th | 25.0 | 64th |
| Yards / game | 459.2 | 10th | 376.1 | 73rd |
| Yards / play | 6.32 | 17th | 5.39 | 68th |
| Pass yards / game | 274.7 | 18th | 234.5 | 110th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.63 | 10th | 7.68 | 94th |
| Completion % | 61.6% | 64th | 62.0% | 88th |
| Rush yards / game | 184.5 | 34th | 129.2 | 34th |
| Yards / carry | 4.86 | 34th | 3.63 | 27th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 34th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 114th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.77 | 111th | 2.00 | 64th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.9 | 101st | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →