The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 53Texas | L 7–38 | -21.9 | — | LHN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 126SMU | W 43–6 | +8.2 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 11 | vs 40Louisiana TechCONF | L 21–42 | -18.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Nicholls State FCS | W 77–3 | +20.4 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 86Indiana | L 24–49 | -27.1 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 78UABCONF | L 21–56 | -27.4 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 118Southern MississippiCONF | L 20–30 | -25.1 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 66RiceCONF | L 21–41 | -18.3 | — | |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 98Florida AtlanticCONF | W 31–10 | +11.0 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 87UTEPCONF | L 17–35 | -20.7 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 99Florida IntlCONF | W 17–14 | -7.1 | — | |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 103UT San AntonioCONF | L 27–34 | -12.8 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.8% | 123rd | 44.8% | 90th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.0% | 124th | 49.7% | 111th |
| Passing success rate | 33.4% | 121st | 39.4% | 52nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 102nd | 14.5% | 61st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 78th | 9.4% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.55 | 120th | 3.15 | 92nd |
| Opportunity rate | 32.0% | 117th | 41.3% | 96th |
| Stuff rate | 21.3% | 98th | 15.3% | 108th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 67th | 6.0% | 61st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.5% | 107th | 39.7% | 47th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.3% | 81st | 72.4% | 118th |
| Havoc rate | 14.9% | 116th | 11.6% | 71st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.0 | 76th | 29.8 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 326.4 | 117th | 369.4 | 43rd |
| Yards / play | 4.72 | 112th | 5.26 | 62nd |
| Pass yards / game | 173.3 | 111th | 191.8 | 38th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.26 | 104th | 6.88 | 58th |
| Completion % | 54.8% | 96th | 59.7% | 81st |
| Rush yards / game | 153.2 | 80th | 161.8 | 65th |
| Yards / carry | 3.89 | 90th | 4.34 | 74th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.7% | 81st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 70th | 2.75 | 25th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.3 | 54th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Andrew McNulty | QB | ||||
| 6 | Dajon Williams | QB | ||||
| 8 | Josh Greer | QB | ||||
| 2 | Reggie Pegram | RB | ||||
| 3 | Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | ||||
| 22 | Antoinne Jimmerson | RB | ||||
| 24 | Erick Evans | RB | ||||
| 25 | Andrew Tucker | RB | ||||
| 29 | Willy Ivery | RB | ||||
| 39 | Jarrod Lynn | FB | ||||
| 1 | Turner Smiley | WR | ||||
| 4 | Darvin Kidsy | WR | ||||
| 9 | Carlos Harris | WR | ||||
| 11 | Darius Terrell | WR | ||||
| 15 | Carl Caldwell | WR | ||||
| 31 | Kenny Buyers | WR | ||||
| 83 | John Chelf | WR | ||||
| 14 | Chris Loving | TE | ||||
| 17 | Cooper Jones | TE | ||||
| 18 | Marcus Smith | TE | ||||
| 88 | Tanner Smith | TE | ||||
| 19 | Sir Calvin Wallace | DL | ||||
| 44 | Sid Moore | DL | ||||
| 30 | Jarrian Roberts | DE | ||||
| 42 | Chad Polk | DE | ||||
| 49 | Daryl Mason | DE | ||||
| 56 | Malik Dilonga | DE | ||||
| 90 | Tillman Johnson | DE | ||||
| 99 | Andy Flusche | DE | ||||
| 15 | Ulaiasi Tauaalo | DT | ||||
| 91 | Austin Orr | DT | ||||
| 95 | Alexander Lincoln | DT | ||||
| 98 | Dutton Watson | DT | ||||
| 6 | Sed Ellis | LB | ||||
| 7 | Derek Akunne | LB | ||||
| 8 | Jordan Miller | LB | ||||
| 10 | Calvin Minor | LB | ||||
| 32 | Fred Scott | LB | ||||
| 43 | Anthony Wallace | LB | ||||
| 46 | A.J. Smith | LB | ||||
| 5 | Matthew Dash | DB | ||||
| 8 | Jamal Marshall | DB | ||||
| 13 | James Jones | DB | ||||
| 16 | Chad Davis | DB | ||||
| 19 | John Schilleci | DB | ||||
| 23 | Zac Whitfield | DB | ||||
| 24 | Sheldon Wade | DB | ||||
| 26 | Troy Castle | DB | ||||
| 27 | Lairamie Lee | DB | ||||
| 29 | Jesse Montgomery | DB | ||||
| 34 | Kishawn McClain | S | ||||
| 43 | Brandon Grubbe | S | ||||
| 49 | Matt Bayliss | S | ||||
| 26 | Zach Paul | PK | ||||
| 30 | Trevor Moore | PK | ||||
| 40 | Blake Macek | P | ||||
| 84 | Eric Keena | P |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →