Big Ten · 2021 · Final

Michigan State Spartans 2021

11-27-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#23
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+7.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.6
21st in FBS
Defense
+2.9
36th in FBS
Schedule
+2.6
12th toughest
Preseason
-4.4
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.5 now, -4.4 preseason · up 84 spots since preseason
-50+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#24

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@107NorthwesternCONFW 38–21+12.1—ESPN
2Sep 11vsYoungstown State FCSW 42–14+3.8—BTN
3Sep 18@52MiamiW 38–17+26.7—ABC
4Sep 25vs44NebraskaCONFW 23–20+5.3—FS1
5Oct 2vs21Western KentuckyW 48–31+22.3—FS1
6Oct 9@92RutgersCONFW 31–13+15.9—BTN
7Oct 16@103IndianaCONFW 20–15+1.0—FS1
8—Bye
9Oct 30vs4MichiganCONFW 37–33+16.5—FOX
10Nov 6@33PurdueCONFL 29–40-2.7—ABC
11Nov 13vs71MarylandCONFW 40–21+16.2—FOX
12Nov 20@3Ohio StateCONFL 7–56-13.4—ABC
13Nov 27vs19Penn StateCONFW 30–27+8.4—ABC
BowlsDec 30vs9PittsburghNEUTRALW 31–21+20.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.2%55th45.6%92nd
Rushing success rate45.5%66th42.7%43rd
Passing success rate45.0%44th47.5%112th
Explosive run rate16.5%39th10.2%8th
Explosive pass rate13.2%24th9.3%33rd
Line yards / carry2.9697th2.9642nd
Opportunity rate40.2%51st34.5%20th
Stuff rate18.9%105th15.5%77th
Sack rate4.4%24th6.4%58th
3rd-down conversion44.2%41st40.2%65th
Red-zone TD rate67.4%32nd52.1%29th
Havoc rate11.0%111th8.6%79th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.940th25.353rd
Yards / game429.342nd455.6117th
Yards / play6.2023rd5.4272nd
Pass yards / game253.747th314.8130th
Yards / pass att.8.2435th7.2969th
Completion %60.8%67th65.5%111th
Rush yards / game175.653rd117.918th
Yards / carry4.7741st3.4215th
3rd-down conv. %40.0%65th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3863rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6228th3.1711th
Penalty yards / game63.9107th——

Players

67 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

67 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →