12-27-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#47
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.9
78th in FBS
Defense
+5.3
18th in FBS
Schedule
-2.6
88th toughest
Preseason
+2.5
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.4 now, +2.5 preseason · down 12 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 124New Mexico State | W 28–10 | +1.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 119Arizona | W 38–14 | +14.6 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 8Utah | W 33–31 | +10.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs Towson FCS | W 48–21 | +3.5 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 121New MexicoCONF | W 31–7 | +8.4 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 105San José StateCONF | W 19–13 | +1.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 27Air ForceCONF | W 20–14 | +15.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 43Fresno StateCONF | L 20–30 | -7.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 94Hawai'iCONF | W 17–10 | +4.7 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 46NevadaCONF | W 23–21 | +4.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 111UNLVCONF | W 28–20 | +0.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 14Boise StateCONF | W 27–16 | +17.4 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 56Utah State | L 13–46 | -26.9 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 42UTSANEUTRAL | W 38–24 | +18.8 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.6% | 100th | 36.4% | 4th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.6% | 98th | 33.8% | 2nd |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 97th | 38.0% | 22nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 75th | 10.1% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 104th | 7.8% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 71st | 2.69 | 6th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.8% | 62nd | 33.2% | 14th |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 79th | 22.0% | 8th |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 57th | 6.7% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.3% | 126th | 34.0% | 15th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.5% | 11th | 65.6% | 96th |
| Havoc rate | 7.8% | 40th | 10.3% | 35th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.0 | 9th | 19.9 | 17th |
| Yards / game | 342.8 | 104th | 319.6 | 14th |
| Yards / play | 5.02 | 103rd | 4.44 | 6th |
| Pass yards / game | 167.9 | 115th | 223.6 | 80th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.51 | 109th | 6.19 | 12th |
| Completion % | 57.9% | 97th | 56.7% | 20th |
| Rush yards / game | 174.9 | 54th | 77.6 | 2nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.29 | 65th | 2.59 | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.1% | 120th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 22nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.71 | 35th | 2.92 | 22nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.9 | 115th | — | — |
Players
68 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
68 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →