The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 59–0 | +16.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 92East Carolina | Marshall −6.2 · o/u 50.2 | — | ||
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 20Appalachian State | W 17–7 | +15.9 | — | CBS |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 79RiceCONF | Marshall −8.4 · o/u 32.9 | — | ||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 101Western KentuckyCONF | W 38–14 | +19.3 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 98Louisiana TechCONF | W 35–17 | +13.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 81Florida AtlanticCONF | W 20–9 | +6.8 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 119Florida InternationalCONF | Marshall −14.6 · o/u 45.7 | — | CBSSN | |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 127Massachusetts | W 51–10 | +6.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 115Middle TennesseeCONF | W 42–14 | +13.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 105CharlotteCONF | Marshall −14.3 · o/u 48.5 | — | ||
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 79RiceCONF | L 0–20 | -23.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 15 | Dec 11 | vs 105CharlotteCONF | Marshall −14.3 · o/u 48.5 | — | CBSSN | |
| 16 | Dec 18 | vs 47UAB | L 13–22 | -8.6 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 25 | vs 16BuffaloNEUTRAL | L 10–17 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.4% | 62nd | 38.5% | 19th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 55th | 35.3% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 66th | 41.8% | 55th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.2% | 85th | 7.6% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 43rd | 7.4% | 7th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 9th | 2.58 | 16th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.0% | 37th | 26.9% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 13.5% | 7th | 16.7% | 93rd |
| Sack rate | 3.7% | 22nd | 8.0% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.0% | 47th | 37.6% | 29th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.7% | 44th | 45.5% | 7th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 6th | 12.6% | 62nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.5 | 62nd | 13.0 | 1st |
| Yards / game | 391.2 | 68th | 279.4 | 2nd |
| Yards / play | 5.74 | 48th | 4.23 | 3rd |
| Pass yards / game | 212.9 | 79th | 168.1 | 13th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 41st | 6.30 | 11th |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 64th | 62.3% | 73rd |
| Rush yards / game | 178.3 | 50th | 95.5 | 4th |
| Yards / carry | 4.00 | 31st | 2.78 | 4th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.0% | 31st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.20 | 42nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.20 | 14th | 2.50 | 45th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.7 | 100th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →