MAC · 2020 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2020

6-15-0 in conference
Final TDC rank
#16
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+9.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.8
13th in FBS
Defense
+2.3
40th in FBS
Schedule
-5.3
117th toughest
Preseason
+1.7
rating going in

2020 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+9.1 now, +1.7 preseason · up 26 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#15

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
10Nov 4@109Northern IllinoisCONFW 49–30+12.4—ESPN2
11Nov 10vs66Miami (OH)CONFW 42–10+24.9—ESPN
12Nov 17@128Bowling GreenCONFW 42–17+5.2—CBSSN
13Nov 28vs74Kent StateCONFW 70–41+23.0—CBSSN
14Dec 5@67OhioCONFBuffalo −7.1 · o/u 59.7—68%CBSSN
15Dec 12vs125AkronCONFW 56–7+13.2—CBSSN
16Dec 18vs27Ball StateNEUTRALL 28–38-3.6—ESPN
BowlsDec 25vs37MarshallNEUTRALW 17–10+11.6—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate50.2%13th38.8%20th
Rushing success rate50.2%19th39.3%24th
Passing success rate50.3%10th38.2%25th
Explosive run rate18.0%23rd9.3%7th
Explosive pass rate11.3%56th13.5%111th
Line yards / carry3.546th3.26100th
Opportunity rate40.6%41st38.8%67th
Stuff rate10.3%2nd12.0%125th
Sack rate0.0%1st9.8%5th
3rd-down conversion52.1%8th27.8%3rd
Red-zone TD rate82.1%3rd50.0%10th
Havoc rate5.8%1st12.4%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game42.67th21.930th
Yards / game478.118th359.035th
Yards / play7.285th5.0027th
Pass yards / game191.0102nd183.422nd
Yards / pass att.8.0012th6.9944th
Completion %62.4%46th55.0%15th
Rush yards / game287.12nd157.457th
Yards / carry6.001st3.9240th
3rd-down conv. %47.6%16th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8610th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.141st2.8623rd
Penalty yards / game52.667th——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →