The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 11Notre Dame | L 3–38 | -13.9 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 106Rice | W 42–28 | +1.3 | — | LHN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 36California | L 44–45 | +3.2 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 40Oklahoma StateCONF | L 27–30 | 0.0 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 15TCUCONF | L 7–50 | -17.4 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 3OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | W 24–17 | +22.9 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 67Kansas StateCONF | W 23–9 | +12.0 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 89Iowa StateCONF | L 0–24 | -26.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 126KansasCONF | W 59–20 | +8.9 | — | LHN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 37West VirginiaCONF | L 20–38 | -9.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 66Texas TechCONF | L 45–48 | -4.7 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 7BaylorCONF | W 23–17 | +21.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.1% | 101st | 46.8% | 108th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 60th | 48.9% | 116th |
| Passing success rate | 30.4% | 126th | 44.1% | 98th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 53rd | 17.8% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.6% | 42nd | 9.0% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 38th | 3.35 | 122nd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.8% | 19th | 42.3% | 108th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 60th | 14.4% | 117th |
| Sack rate | 12.6% | 128th | 9.7% | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.9% | 104th | 45.2% | 99th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.3% | 70th | 70.5% | 100th |
| Havoc rate | 13.8% | 93rd | 11.3% | 90th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.8 | 72nd | 31.1 | 72nd |
| Yards / game | 370.8 | 92nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.47 | 64th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 145.9 | 118th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.95 | 76th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.2% | 92nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 224.8 | 17th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.10 | 21st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.3% | 100th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 102nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.1 | 90th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trey Holtz | QB | ||||
| 25 | Chris Warren | RB | ||||
| 27 | Roderick Bernard | RB | ||||
| 28 | Kirk Johnson | RB | ||||
| 32 | Johnathan Gray | RB | ||||
| 33 | D'Onta Foreman | RB | ||||
| 39 | Gaston Davis | RB | ||||
| 1 | John Burt | WR | ||||
| 3 | Armanti Foreman | WR | ||||
| 4 | Daje Johnson | WR | ||||
| 5 | Lorenzo Joe | WR | ||||
| 6 | DeAndre McNeal | WR | ||||
| 6 | Jake Oliver | WR | ||||
| 7 | Marcus Johnson | WR | ||||
| 8 | Dorian Leonard | WR | ||||
| 11 | Jacorey Warrick | WR | ||||
| 13 | Jerrod Heard | WR | ||||
| 17 | Ryan Newsome | WR | ||||
| 18 | Tyrone Swoopes | TE | ||||
| 36 | Alex De La Torre | TE | ||||
| 42 | Caleb Bluiett | TE | ||||
| 47 | Andrew Beck | TE | ||||
| 52 | Spencer Stanley | OL | ||||
| 64 | Jake McMillon | OL | ||||
| 97 | Chris Nelson | DL | ||||
| 1 | Shiro Davis | DE | ||||
| 40 | Naashon Hughes | DE | ||||
| 49 | Derick Roberson | DE | ||||
| 90 | Charles Omenihu | DE | ||||
| 91 | Bryce Cottrell | DE | ||||
| 92 | Quincy Vasser | DE | ||||
| 93 | Paul Boyette Jr. | DT | ||||
| 95 | Poona Ford | DT | ||||
| 98 | Hassan Ridgeway | DT | ||||
| 99 | Desmond Jackson | DT | ||||
| 5 | Edwin Freeman | LB | ||||
| 19 | Peter Jinkens | LB | ||||
| 30 | Timothy Cole | LB | ||||
| 31 | Jason Hall | LB | ||||
| 44 | Breckyn Hager | LB | ||||
| 45 | Anthony Wheeler | LB | ||||
| 46 | Malik Jefferson | LB | ||||
| 7 | Antwuan Davis | DB | ||||
| 10 | John Bonney | DB | ||||
| 11 | P.J. Locke | DB | ||||
| 15 | Bryson Echols | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kris Boyd | CB | ||||
| 5 | Holton Hill | CB | ||||
| 9 | Davante Davis | CB | ||||
| 21 | Duke Thomas | CB | ||||
| 4 | DeShon Elliott | S | ||||
| 14 | Dylan Haines | S | ||||
| 18 | Kevin Vaccaro | S | ||||
| 23 | Nick Rose | PK | ||||
| 13 | Michael Dickson | P | ||||
| 73 | Jordan Rigsbee | G |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →