The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Albany FCS | L 16–22 | -29.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 109Nevada | L 14–38 | -30.7 | — | CAMP |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 72Army | W 23–20 | -1.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 76Boston College | L 3–35 | -26.7 | — | ACCNX |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 106Kent StateCONF | L 20–44 | -35.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 99Ball StateCONF | L 21–31 | -20.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 79Northern IllinoisCONF | L 7–44 | -28.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 92AkronCONF | W 41–20 | +12.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 73OhioCONF | L 10–34 | -23.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 93Miami (OH)CONF | L 24–35 | -19.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 13Western MichiganCONF | L 0–38 | -14.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 107Bowling GreenCONF | L 19–27 | -14.5 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.4% | 115th | 46.8% | 105th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.0% | 109th | 49.6% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 36.9% | 107th | 41.6% | 62nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 109th | 15.2% | 66th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 96th | 13.7% | 117th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 87th | 3.28 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.7% | 92nd | 43.7% | 116th |
| Stuff rate | 19.7% | 88th | 16.4% | 97th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 47th | 5.7% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.1% | 104th | 45.1% | 102nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 48.0% | 123rd | 57.8% | 35th |
| Havoc rate | 14.5% | 106th | 11.0% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.0 | 127th | 31.8 | 76th |
| Yards / game | 353.8 | 111th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.02 | 105th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 200.5 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.06 | 119th | — | — |
| Completion % | 53.4% | 113th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 153.3 | 90th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.32 | 72nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.5% | 97th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 51st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.0 | 20th | — | — |
50 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tyree Jackson | QB | ||||
| 19 | Grant Rohach | QB | ||||
| 2 | Jordan Johnson | RB | ||||
| 20 | Michael Forman | RB | ||||
| 24 | Johnathan Hawkins | RB | ||||
| 29 | Emmanuel Reed | RB | ||||
| 7 | Marcus McGill | WR | ||||
| 8 | K.J. Osborn | WR | ||||
| 15 | Jamarl Eiland | WR | ||||
| 80 | Malcolm Robinson | WR | ||||
| 86 | Kamathi Holsey | WR | ||||
| 88 | Jacob Martinez | WR | ||||
| 81 | Tyler Mabry | TE | ||||
| 85 | Mason Schreck | TE | ||||
| 4 | Randy Anyanwu | DL | ||||
| 13 | Corey Henderson | DL | ||||
| 55 | Brandon Crawford | DL | ||||
| 66 | Max Perisse | DL | ||||
| 90 | Justin Brandon | DL | ||||
| 99 | Remaine Douglas | DL | ||||
| 12 | Eli Mencer | DE | ||||
| 50 | Joe Keels | DE | ||||
| 51 | Torey Hendrick | DE | ||||
| 91 | Demone Harris | DE | ||||
| 92 | Chuck Harris | DE | ||||
| 94 | Myles Nicholas | DE | ||||
| 58 | Chris Ford | DT | ||||
| 96 | Duke Hwang | DT | ||||
| 16 | Ishmael Hargrove | LB | ||||
| 23 | Brandon Berry | LB | ||||
| 25 | Jordan Collier | LB | ||||
| 25 | Travonte Junius | LB | ||||
| 36 | Jarrett Franklin | LB | ||||
| 47 | Jake Ames | LB | ||||
| 41 | Jeremiah Dadeboe | DB | ||||
| 1 | Boise Ross | CB | ||||
| 14 | Brandon Williams | CB | ||||
| 22 | Kareem Brown | CB | ||||
| 39 | Cam Lewis | CB | ||||
| 45 | Cameron Skipworth | CB | ||||
| 11 | Andrews Dadeboe | S | ||||
| 23 | Josh Wynn | S | ||||
| 26 | Ryan Williamson | S | ||||
| 28 | Dev Lamour | S | ||||
| 19 | Adam Mitcheson | PK | ||||
| 30 | Kyle DeWeen | P | ||||
| 42 | Wes Farnsworth | LS | ||||
| 12 | Drew Anderson | |||||
| 22 | Tim Roberts | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →