MAC · 2016 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2016

2-101-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#127
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-15.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-10.3
126th in FBS
Defense
-5.6
108th in FBS
Schedule
-5.3
112th toughest
Preseason
-2.5
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-15.9 now, -2.5 preseason · down 36 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#127

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsAlbany FCSL 16–22-29.0—ESPN3
2—Bye
3Sep 17@109NevadaL 14–38-30.7—CAMP
4Sep 24vs72ArmyW 23–20-1.1—ESPN3
5Oct 1@76Boston CollegeL 3–35-26.7—ACCNX
6Oct 8vs106Kent StateCONFL 20–44-35.3—ESPN3
7Oct 15vs99Ball StateCONFL 21–31-20.0—ESPN3
8Oct 22@79Northern IllinoisCONFL 7–44-28.7—ESPN3
9Oct 27vs92AkronCONFW 41–20+12.5—ESPN3
10Nov 3@73OhioCONFL 10–34-23.2—CBSSN
11Nov 12vs93Miami (OH)CONFL 24–35-19.9—ESPN3
12Nov 19@13Western MichiganCONFL 0–38-14.7—ESPNU
13Nov 25@107Bowling GreenCONFL 19–27-14.5—

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.4%115th46.8%105th
Rushing success rate40.0%109th49.6%112th
Passing success rate36.9%107th41.6%62nd
Explosive run rate12.2%109th15.2%66th
Explosive pass rate8.7%96th13.7%117th
Line yards / carry2.9187th3.28112th
Opportunity rate37.7%92nd43.7%116th
Stuff rate19.7%88th16.4%97th
Sack rate5.3%47th5.7%69th
3rd-down conversion36.1%104th45.1%102nd
Red-zone TD rate48.0%123rd57.8%35th
Havoc rate14.5%106th11.0%103rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game18.0127th31.876th
Yards / game353.8111th——
Yards / play5.02105th——
Pass yards / game200.595th——
Yards / pass att.6.06119th——
Completion %53.4%113th——
Rush yards / game153.390th——
Yards / carry4.3272nd——
3rd-down conv. %36.5%97th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.9251st——
Penalty yards / game43.020th——

Players

50 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

50 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →