Sun Belt · 2014 · Final

Texas State Bobcats 2014

7-55-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#82
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-4.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.6
81st in FBS
Defense
-3.1
93rd in FBS
Schedule
-8.6
126th toughest
Preseason
-4.8
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-4.7 now, -4.8 preseason · up 20 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#82

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsArkansas-Pine Bluff FCSW 65–0+17.3—ESPN3
2—Bye
3Sep 13vs55NavyL 21–35-14.8—ESPNEWS
4Sep 20@84IllinoisL 35–42-9.6—ESPNEWS
5Sep 27@119TulsaW 37–34-7.8—ESPNEWS
6Oct 4vs124IdahoCONFW 35–30-13.8—ESPN3
7—Bye
8Oct 14vs72LouisianaCONFL 10–34-27.6—ESPN2
9Oct 25@100Louisiana MonroeCONFW 22–18-1.5—ESPN3
10Nov 1@125New Mexico StateCONFW 37–29-7.2—ESPN3
11Nov 8vs51Georgia SouthernCONFL 25–28-3.0—ESPN3
12Nov 15@94South AlabamaCONFL 20–24-7.6—ESPN3
13Nov 20vs77Arkansas StateCONFW 45–27+13.8—ESPNU
14Nov 29@127Georgia StateCONFW 54–31+6.2—ESPN3

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.1%53rd43.8%79th
Rushing success rate47.5%40th46.6%87th
Passing success rate40.0%72nd41.0%69th
Explosive run rate17.2%33rd12.8%32nd
Explosive pass rate8.3%100th9.4%52nd
Line yards / carry3.2531st3.33114th
Opportunity rate45.1%13th39.7%75th
Stuff rate18.2%59th11.6%127th
Sack rate6.0%67th6.4%46th
3rd-down conversion38.6%95th42.1%73rd
Red-zone TD rate71.4%19th58.5%47th
Havoc rate11.8%63rd10.2%107th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.032nd30.085th
Yards / game464.425th445.1100th
Yards / play5.8937th5.5381st
Pass yards / game225.970th230.390th
Yards / pass att.7.1065th7.0270th
Completion %65.4%10th63.0%110th
Rush yards / game238.520th201.8101st
Yards / carry5.3218th4.6488th
3rd-down conv. %38.5%82nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1778th2.3344th
Penalty yards / game59.091st——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →