Sun Belt · 2014 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2014

7-65-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#77
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.2
35th in FBS
Defense
-5.0
106th in FBS
Schedule
-6.3
117th toughest
Preseason
-0.8
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.8 now, -0.8 preseason · down 1 spot since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#77

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsMontana State FCSW 37–10+4.0—ESPN3
2Sep 6@35TennesseeL 19–34-6.6—SEC Network
3Sep 13@33MiamiL 20–41-12.2—ESPNU
4Sep 20vs47Utah StateW 21–14+8.1—ESPN3
5—Bye
6Oct 4vs100Louisiana MonroeCONFW 28–14+3.8—ESPN3
7Oct 11@127Georgia StateCONFW 52–10+13.5—ESPN3
8—Bye
9Oct 21@72LouisianaCONFL 40–55-13.9—ESPN2
10Nov 1@124IdahoCONFW 44–28+2.0—ESPN3
11Nov 8vs94South AlabamaCONFW 45–10+19.5—ESPN3
12Nov 15vs88Appalachian StateCONFL 32–37-12.5—ESPN3
13Nov 20@82Texas StateCONFL 27–45-20.3—ESPNU
14Nov 29vs125New Mexico StateCONFW 68–35+7.2—ESPN3
BowlsJan 4vs68ToledoNEUTRALL 44–63-19.7—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.4%62nd43.5%77th
Rushing success rate45.8%52nd47.2%97th
Passing success rate40.8%65th39.0%48th
Explosive run rate17.2%33rd19.0%120th
Explosive pass rate9.5%72nd9.7%61st
Line yards / carry2.9085th3.1693rd
Opportunity rate40.0%55th40.6%86th
Stuff rate22.2%108th18.4%70th
Sack rate6.5%80th7.4%21st
3rd-down conversion37.4%102nd37.4%28th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%36th63.9%77th
Havoc rate11.8%63rd13.5%27th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.013th30.589th
Yards / game476.521st411.381st
Yards / play5.8739th5.3064th
Pass yards / game260.140th204.747th
Yards / pass att.7.5551st6.8756th
Completion %61.6%37th56.7%44th
Rush yards / game216.427th191.994th
Yards / carry4.8835th4.5084th
3rd-down conv. %37.7%90th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3888th3.0013th
Penalty yards / game69.6117th——

Players

67 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

67 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →