The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 113TulaneCONF | W 38–31 | -5.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 22Oklahoma | L 7–52 | -23.9 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 98Florida Atlantic | L 21–50 | -31.0 | — | |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 82Texas State | L 34–37 | -10.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 46Colorado State | L 17–42 | -18.4 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 70TempleCONF | L 24–35 | -9.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 115South FloridaCONF | L 30–38 | -21.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 31MemphisCONF | L 20–40 | -11.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 126SMUCONF | W 38–28 | -10.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 14 | @ 50UCFCONF | L 7–31 | -18.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 54HoustonCONF | L 28–38 | -5.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 45East CarolinaCONF | L 32–49 | -15.8 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.1% | 86th | 44.5% | 85th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.0% | 92nd | 44.9% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.4% | 68th | 44.1% | 100th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.0% | 119th | 17.3% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 81st | 12.7% | 114th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 66th | 2.95 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.7% | 85th | 42.1% | 102nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.5% | 30th | 23.1% | 14th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 39th | 5.1% | 85th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.6% | 78th | 43.9% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.0% | 94th | 72.3% | 117th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 30th | 11.5% | 78th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.0 | 96th | 39.4 | 123rd |
| Yards / game | 412.5 | 59th | 486.8 | 117th |
| Yards / play | 5.04 | 96th | 6.77 | 127th |
| Pass yards / game | 264.7 | 37th | 259.3 | 118th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.60 | 89th | 8.73 | 126th |
| Completion % | 54.7% | 97th | 62.0% | 102nd |
| Rush yards / game | 147.8 | 90th | 214.7 | 110th |
| Yards / carry | 3.72 | 96th | 5.52 | 118th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.4% | 85th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 70th | 1.83 | 84th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.0 | 109th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dane Evans | QB | ||||
| 18 | Joseph Calcagni | QB | ||||
| 4 | D'Angelo Brewer | RB | ||||
| 20 | James Flanders | RB | ||||
| 21 | Rowdy Simon | RB | ||||
| 24 | Zack Langer | RB | ||||
| 28 | Tavarreon Dickerson | RB | ||||
| 1 | Keyarris Garrett | WR | ||||
| 2 | Keevan Lucas | WR | ||||
| 7 | Bishop Louie | WR | ||||
| 11 | Derek Patterson | WR | ||||
| 80 | Conner Floyd | WR | ||||
| 84 | Nigel Carter | WR | ||||
| 86 | Zach Epps | WR | ||||
| 88 | Josh Atkinson | WR | ||||
| 16 | Mandel Dixon | TE | ||||
| 54 | Fred Zerblis | OL | ||||
| 8 | Jesse Brubaker | DE | ||||
| 46 | Chris Hummingbird | DE | ||||
| 54 | Derrick Alexander | DE | ||||
| 97 | Brentom Todd | DE | ||||
| 98 | Jeremy Smith | DE | ||||
| 56 | Earl Rollins | DT | ||||
| 75 | Lionell Phillips | DT | ||||
| 95 | Hayden Carman | DT | ||||
| 99 | Derrick Luetjen | DT | ||||
| 99 | Jerry Uwaezuoke | DT | ||||
| 3 | Donnell Hawkins | LB | ||||
| 13 | William Townsend | LB | ||||
| 20 | Zik Asiegbu | LB | ||||
| 28 | Craig Suits | LB | ||||
| 30 | Luke Snider | LB | ||||
| 32 | Mitchell Osborne | LB | ||||
| 40 | Trent Martin | LB | ||||
| 43 | Conner Sherwood | LB | ||||
| 44 | Petera Wilson Jr. | LB | ||||
| 51 | Andrew Hamilton | LB | ||||
| 53 | Jake Sizelove | LB | ||||
| 55 | Matt Hickman | LB | ||||
| 59 | C.J. Gooden | LB | ||||
| 48 | Colby Scott | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kerwin Thomas | CB | ||||
| 6 | Darrell Williams | CB | ||||
| 7 | Johnell Celistan | CB | ||||
| 9 | Dwight Dobbins | CB | ||||
| 23 | Will Barrow | CB | ||||
| 37 | Austin McDaniel | CB | ||||
| 2N | Marco Nelson | S | ||||
| 1 | Michael Mudoh | S | ||||
| 13 | Jordan Mitchell | S | ||||
| 24 | Zach Velliquette | S | ||||
| 27 | Richard Carthon | S | ||||
| 49 | Bradley White | S | ||||
| 29 | Carl Salazar | PK | ||||
| 26 | Dalton Parks | P |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →