
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 118Southern Miss | W 31–7 | +10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 117Bowling Green | W 22–19 | -6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs Alcorn State FCS | W 28–21 | -14.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 31LouisianaCONF | L 18–20 | +2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 116Texas StateCONF | L 31–33 | -10.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 112Georgia SouthernCONF | W 41–14 | +13.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 115UL MonroeCONF | L 31–41 | -18.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 120Arkansas StateCONF | W 31–13 | +3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 101TroyCONF | L 24–31 | -10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 13 | @ 20Appalachian StateCONF | L 7–31 | -13.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 37Tennessee | L 14–60 | -24.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 28Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 21–27 | -1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.5% | 93rd | 39.8% | 26th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.7% | 114th | 40.3% | 26th |
| Passing success rate | 43.9% | 60th | 39.3% | 36th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.4% | 121st | 13.6% | 49th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 102nd | 12.1% | 103rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.74 | 123rd | 2.82 | 20th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.4% | 102nd | 34.6% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 22.2% | 125th | 19.7% | 19th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 80th | 6.3% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.3% | 121st | 36.4% | 28th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.4% | 101st | 50.0% | 20th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 123rd | 12.3% | 10th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.9 | 91st | 26.3 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 367.4 | 91st | 354.7 | 43rd |
| Yards / play | 5.04 | 102nd | 5.20 | 52nd |
| Pass yards / game | 256.0 | 41st | 191.8 | 35th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.55 | 66th | 7.23 | 61st |
| Completion % | 67.1% | 12th | 59.5% | 60th |
| Rush yards / game | 111.4 | 115th | 146.3 | 55th |
| Yards / carry | 3.05 | 126th | 3.98 | 59th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.7% | 126th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 94th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 81st | 2.58 | 45th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.8 | 25th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desmond Trotter | QB | ||||
| 13 | Jake Bentley | QB | ||||
| 14 | Kareem Walker | RB | ||||
| 21 | Jared Wilson | RB | ||||
| 23 | Bryan Hill | RB | ||||
| 25 | Terrion Avery | RB | ||||
| 0 | Jalen Wayne | WR | ||||
| 3 | Allen Dailey Jr. | WR | ||||
| 4 | Caullin Lacy | WR | ||||
| 6 | Jay'juan Townsend | WR | ||||
| 8 | Jalen Tolbert | WR | ||||
| 12 | Cade Sutherland | WR | ||||
| 20 | Brandon Crum | TE | ||||
| 27 | Jacob Hopper | TE | ||||
| 47 | Trent Tyre | TE | ||||
| 88 | Lincoln Sefcik | TE | ||||
| 71 | Dalton Cooper | OT | ||||
| 12 | Jamall Hickbottom | DL | ||||
| 17 | Zeke Chapman | DL | ||||
| 20 | Lamondre Brooks | DL | ||||
| 30 | Charles Coleman III | DL | ||||
| 33 | Terry Perry | DL | ||||
| 45 | Ed Smith IV | DL | ||||
| 48 | Gi'Narious Johnson | DL | ||||
| 68 | Zyon Walker | DL | ||||
| 90 | Carlos Johnson Jr. | DL | ||||
| 95 | Brock Higdon | DL | ||||
| 99 | Bubba Thomas | DL | ||||
| 3 | A.J. DeShazor Jr. | LB | ||||
| 9 | Ke'Shun Brown | LB | ||||
| 10 | Quentin Wilfawn | LB | ||||
| 14 | CJ Rias | LB | ||||
| 22 | A.J. Phillips | LB | ||||
| 22 | Trey Kiser | LB | ||||
| 24 | Shawn Jennings | LB | ||||
| 25 | Jamal Brooks | LB | ||||
| 49 | Christian Bell | LB | ||||
| 0 | Keith Gallmon Jr. | DB | ||||
| 10 | Ryan Melton | DB | ||||
| 18 | Tavarian McCullum | DB | ||||
| 1 | Davyn Flenord | CB | ||||
| 6 | Devin Rockette | CB | ||||
| 18 | Darrell Luter Jr. | CB | ||||
| 4 | Tre Young | S | ||||
| 11 | Atanza Vongor | S | ||||
| 13 | CJ Thompson | S | ||||
| 15 | Yam Banks | S | ||||
| 21 | Shawn Steele II | S | ||||
| 31 | Doug Sullivan | S | ||||
| 32 | Kwameh Lewis | S | ||||
| 36 | Diego Guajardo | PK | ||||
| 92 | Jack Brooks | P | ||||
| 74 | Cameron Kaye | LS | ||||
| 7 | Chris Henderson | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →