Efficiency & Role
EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS RB who qualifies
Advanced
Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume
| Rushing | Value | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 87 | — |
| Success rate | 46.0% | 146th / 332 |
| Explosive run rate | 20.7% | 41st / 332 |
| Stuffed at the line | 16.1% | 180th / 332 |
| First downs | 30 | — |
| Red-zone carries | 11 | — |
| Goal-line carries | 2 | — |
| Receiving | Value | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12 | — |
| Target share | 5.5% | — |
| Catch rate | 66.7% | — |
| Success rate per target | 16.7% | — |
| Yards per target | 1.3 | — |
| Explosive catches | 0.0% | — |
| Deep-target rate | 0.0% | — |
| 3rd-down targets | 2 | — |
| Red-zone targets | 0 | — |
Charting
Where Watson's plays went: throw and catch spots, air yards and yards after the catch, read from the play-by-play
Where he's targeted12 targets charted
Run direction90 carries
2025 charting · Louisville
2025 season. ESPN's play-by-play only has throw and catch spots for part of 2025 (2 of Watson’s games here), so treat the maps as a sample.
Where he's targeted5 targets charted
Run direction24 carries
Career
3 seasons at 2 schools since 2014 · box-score totals, snap share estimated from play-by-play
| Season | Team | G | Snaps | Car | Rush yds | Y/C | Rush TD | Rush SR | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 so far |  UCF#57 · 4-4 | 8 | 51% | 92 | 597 | 6.5 | 3 | 46.0% | 8 | 15 | 0 | 5.5% |
| 2025 |  Louisville#24 · 9-4 | 7 | 18% | 49 | 158 | 3.2 | 1 | 43.5% | 6 | 49 | 1 | 4.7% |
| 2024 | Louisville#14 · 9-4 | 13 | 21% | 67 | 597 | 8.9 | 7 | 43.1% | 5 | 60 | 1 | 3.3% |
Past seasons are summed from ESPN box scores; success rates and snap shares come from the play-by-play. Duke Watson's team rank is that season's final TDC rank. A dash means the stat wasn't recorded.
Game Log
Duke Watson's box score, game by game, from ESPN, with a 0–10 game score for each (hover it for how it works). Click a result for the full game
| Rushing | Receiving | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Game score | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Long | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Long |
| 1 |  Bethune-Cookman | W 73–6 | 7.9 | 7 | 110 | 15.7 | 1 | 64 | · | · | · | · | · |
| 2 | @ Pittsburgh | L 7–12 | 4.5 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  Georgia State | W 44–30 | 9.2 | 14 | 177 | 12.6 | 2 | 63 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  TCU | W 21–13 | 5.6 | 13 | 57 | 4.4 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | @ Houston | L 17–27 | 5.7 | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | 37 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | @ Oklahoma State | L 28–42 | 5.3 | 21 | 79 | 3.8 | 0 | 13 | · | · | · | · | · |
| 8 |  BYU | W 39–31 | 6.7 | 15 | 94 | 6.3 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Baylor | L 9–41 | 4.4 | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 · 8 games | 6.2 | 92 | 597 | 6.5 | 3 | 64 | 8 | 15 | 1.9 | 0 | 8 | ||
2026 Season Stats
FBS rank among qualifying players
| Rushing | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 92 | — |
| Yards | 597 | 51st / 1519 |
| Yards / carry | 6.5 | 26th / 312 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 192nd / 683 |
| Long | 64 | — |
| Receiving | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 8 | 841st / 2089 |
| Yards | 15 | 1631st / 2074 |
| Yards / catch | 1.9 | — |
| Touchdowns | 0 | — |
| Long | 8 | — |
| Fumbles | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Fumbles | 1 | — |
| Lost | 0 | — |
| Recovered | 0 | — |
Snaps by Game
Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works
| Game | Start | Team plays | Est. snaps | Plays involved | Penalties | Snap share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 · Bethune-Cookman | ✓ RB | 60 | ~16 (11–21) | 7 | · | 27% |
| Wk 2 · Pittsburgh | ✓ RB | 54 | ~33 (23–43) | 10 | 1 | 61% |
| Wk 3 · Georgia State | ✓ RB | 56 | ~26 (18–34) | 15 | · | 46% |
| Wk 4 · TCU | ✓ RB | 53 | ~28 (19–36) | 14 | · | 53% |
| Wk 5 · Houston | — | 59 | ~33 (23–43) | 11 | · | 56% |
| Wk 6 · Oklahoma State | ✓ RB | 83 | ~52 (44–58) | 22 | · | 63% |
| Wk 8 · BYU | — | 82 | ~45 (38–50) | 16 | 1 | 55% |
| Wk 9 · Baylor | — | 67 | ~29 (20–38) | 9 | · | 43% |
| Season | 5 GS | 514 | 262 (208–324) | 104 | 2 | 51% |
Position Room
7 RBs on the UCF roster, ordered by car
| # | Player | Pos | Class | Car | Yds | YPC | TD | Rec | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Watson | RB | 92 | 597 | 6.5 | 3 | 8 | +0.11 | ||
| 11 | Landen Chambers | RB | JR | 42 | 185 | 4.4 | 4 | 5 | +0.30 |
| 4 | Taevion Swint | RB | FR | 32 | 162 | 5.1 | 2 | 4 | +0.01 |
| 20 | Kaj Baker | RB | FR | 6 | 30 | 5 | 0 | — | +0.14 |
| 35 | Agyeman Addae | RB | SO | 6 | 74 | 12.3 | 1 | 1 | +0.77 |
| 24 | Arthur Lewis IV | RB | FR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | -0.47 |
| 42 | Chance Nixon | RB | FR | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 6+ plays per team game. UCF depth chart →