UCF · 2026

Duke Watson

RB
UCF Knights2-1 · TDC #41
Snap share
44%
3 of 3 started · likely 31–54%
Rush yards
297
21st of 1194 in FBS
Yards / carry
11.0
3rd of 329 in FBS
Rush TD
3
36th of 476 in FBS
Receptions
4
622nd of 1676 in FBS
EPA / play
+0.47
22nd of 257 RBs

Efficiency & Role

EPA = expected points added per play. Compared with every FBS RB who qualifies

EPA per play by situation

30 plays · +14.1 total EPA · 22nd of 257 qualifying RBs
All plays+0.47
Passing-0.58
Rushing+0.68
1st down+0.71
2nd down+0.38
3rd down-0.57
Standard downs+0.50
Passing downs+0.42
WatsonRB average

Share of team plays

How often the offense runs through this player. Pass = targets or dropbacks, rush = carries
All plays17%
Pass plays7%
Run plays26%
1st down17%
2nd down26%
3rd down6%
Standard downs15%
Passing downs23%
WatsonRB average

Advanced

Computed from every play, garbage time excluded. FBS rank among players with enough volume

RushingValueFBS rank
Carries24—
Success rate50.0%86th / 293
Explosive run rate33.3%6th / 293
Stuffed at the line8.3%54th / 293
First downs9—
Red-zone carries4—
Goal-line carries0—
ReceivingValueFBS rank
Targets5—
Target share10.4%—
Catch rate80.0%—
Success rate per target20.0%—
Yards per target1.2—
Explosive catches0.0%—
Deep-target rate0.0%—
3rd-down targets1—
Red-zone targets0—

2026 Season Stats

FBS rank among qualifying players

Rushing2026FBS rank
Carries27—
Yards29721st / 1194
Yards / carry113rd / 329
Touchdowns336th / 476
Long64—
Receiving2026FBS rank
Receptions4622nd / 1676
Yards61457th / 1662
Yards / catch1.5—
Touchdowns0—
Long8—

Snaps by Game

Estimated snaps from a model trained on real NFL snap counts. Ranges in brackets are where the real number lands 80% of the time: wide for a single game, tighter over the season. How it works

GameStartTeam playsEst. snapsPlays involvedPenaltiesSnap share
Wk 1 · Bethune-Cookman✓ RB60~16 (11–21)7·27%
Wk 2 · Pittsburgh✓ RB54~33 (23–43)10161%
Wk 3 · Georgia State✓ RB56~26 (18–34)15·46%
Season3 GS17075 (53–92)32144%

Position Room

7 RBs on the UCF roster, ordered by car

#PlayerPosClassCarYdsYPCTDRecEPA/play
Duke WatsonRB272971134+0.47
4Taevion SwintRBFR15875.811+0.03
11Landen ChambersRBJR151187.921+0.50
20Kaj BakerRBFR63050—+0.14
35Agyeman AddaeRBSO47418.51—+1.16
24Arthur Lewis IVRBFR1000—-0.47
42Chance NixonRBFR——————

Stats, EPA and usage come from CollegeFootballData.com and refresh daily. FBS ranks only count players with enough volume for the stat to mean something. Qualifying for EPA takes 6+ plays per team game. UCF depth chart →