MAC · 2017 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2017

6-64-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#84
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-3.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.7
81st in FBS
Defense
-1.3
77th in FBS
Schedule
-5.2
108th toughest
Preseason
-9.0
rating going in

2017 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-3.0 now, -9.0 preseason · up 46 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#83

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31@58MinnesotaL 7–17-6.5—BTN
2Sep 9@51ArmyL 17–21+1.3—CBSSN
3Sep 16vsColgate FCSW 33–10+0.9—ESPN3
4Sep 23vs31Florida AtlanticW 34–31+7.4—ESPN3
5Sep 30@125Kent StateCONFW 27–130.0—ESPN3
6Oct 7vs66Western MichiganCONFL 68–71-5.6—ESPNU
7Oct 14vs61Northern IllinoisCONFL 13–14-3.1—ESPN3
8Oct 21@94Miami (OH)CONFL 14–24-12.3—ESPN3
9Oct 28@96AkronCONFL 20–21-4.1—CBSSN
10—Bye
11Nov 7vs115Bowling GreenCONFW 38–28-4.4—ESPNU
12Nov 16@128Ball StateCONFW 40–24+0.5—CBSSN
13Nov 24vs47OhioCONFW 31–24+8.1—ESPN3

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.3%58th47.0%107th
Rushing success rate41.9%87th49.5%113th
Passing success rate44.7%33rd43.4%86th
Explosive run rate11.3%115th12.3%24th
Explosive pass rate13.4%22nd10.6%71st
Line yards / carry2.9176th3.1897th
Opportunity rate36.0%94th38.8%80th
Stuff rate18.0%49th14.7%118th
Sack rate3.9%26th4.3%103rd
3rd-down conversion40.5%70th42.9%87th
Red-zone TD rate55.1%106th55.6%38th
Havoc rate12.6%61st11.3%100th
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.769th25.244th
Yards / game431.936th——
Yards / play6.1328th——
Pass yards / game290.822nd——
Yards / pass att.8.7211th——
Completion %58.5%67th——
Rush yards / game141.193rd——
Yards / carry3.9691st——
3rd-down conv. %41.4%49th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.4222nd——
Penalty yards / game49.851st——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →