Big Ten · 2017 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2017

10-37-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#27
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+7.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.3
52nd in FBS
Defense
+6.2
22nd in FBS
Schedule
+2.3
35th toughest
Preseason
+1.9
rating going in

2017 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.6 now, +1.9 preseason · up 21 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#27

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vs106NevadaW 31–20+0.9—BTN
2Sep 9@37DukeL 17–41-17.0—ESPNU
3Sep 16vs115Bowling GreenW 49–7+15.9—BTN
4—Bye
5Sep 30@4WisconsinCONFL 24–33+12.0—ABC
6Oct 7vs2Penn StateCONFL 7–31-7.4—ABC
7Oct 14@85MarylandCONFW 37–21+15.2—ESPN2
8Oct 21vs16IowaCONFW 17–10+14.8—ESPN2
9Oct 28vs25Michigan StateCONFW 39–31+13.2—ESPN
10Nov 4@78NebraskaCONFW 31–24+7.6—BTN
11Nov 11vs35PurdueCONFW 23–13+12.6—ESPN2
12Nov 18vs58MinnesotaCONFW 39–0+27.7—
13Nov 25@113IllinoisCONFW 42–7+19.8—FS1
BowlsDec 29vs71KentuckyNEUTRALW 24–23+0.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.1%63rd38.4%26th
Rushing success rate43.6%72nd36.1%11th
Passing success rate42.5%54th40.2%57th
Explosive run rate13.4%87th11.0%17th
Explosive pass rate7.8%116th8.8%25th
Line yards / carry2.9471st2.354th
Opportunity rate35.7%97th32.5%14th
Stuff rate18.6%55th23.1%20th
Sack rate6.5%79th5.9%60th
3rd-down conversion35.8%110th38.6%48th
Red-zone TD rate67.9%35th61.8%67th
Havoc rate13.3%79th15.5%17th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.259th27.162nd
Yards / game408.055th——
Yards / play5.1595th——
Pass yards / game233.864th——
Yards / pass att.6.59103rd——
Completion %59.9%52nd——
Rush yards / game174.252nd——
Yards / carry4.2271st——
3rd-down conv. %35.3%99th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3887th——
Penalty yards / game49.049th——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →