
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 115Bowling Green | W 35–10 | +9.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 66Western Michigan | W 28–14 | +11.4 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 10Notre Dame | L 18–38 | -8.1 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 16IowaCONF | W 17–10 | +14.8 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 15MichiganCONF | W 14–10 | +16.8 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 58MinnesotaCONF | W 30–27 | +6.5 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 54IndianaCONF | W 17–9 | +7.5 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 27NorthwesternCONF | L 31–39 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 2Penn StateCONF | W 27–24 | +19.6 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 3Ohio StateCONF | L 3–48 | -9.9 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 85MarylandCONF | W 17–7 | +4.2 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 98RutgersCONF | W 40–7 | +23.5 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 39Washington StateNEUTRAL | W 42–17 | +28.8 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 52nd | 37.5% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.3% | 85th | 36.5% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 23rd | 38.2% | 34th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 107th | 9.1% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.1% | 110th | 8.8% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 70th | 2.74 | 37th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.1% | 108th | 33.4% | 23rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.0% | 83rd | 19.6% | 58th |
| Sack rate | 3.5% | 17th | 5.7% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.1% | 11th | 32.9% | 14th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 60th | 61.5% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 10.3% | 20th | 12.2% | 83rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.5 | 101st | 20.0 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 383.1 | 91st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.03 | 102nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 215.2 | 76th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.60 | 100th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.3% | 71st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 167.8 | 62nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.00 | 89th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.7% | 21st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 39th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.1 | 93rd | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Damion Terry | QB | ||||
| 14 | Brian Lewerke | QB | ||||
| 3 | LJ Scott | RB | ||||
| 10 | Messiah deWeaver | RB | ||||
| 16 | Austin Andrews | RB | ||||
| 24 | Gerald Holmes | RB | ||||
| 28 | Madre London | RB | ||||
| 88 | Andre Welch | RB | ||||
| 11 | Connor Heyward | FB | ||||
| 5 | Hunter Rison | WR | ||||
| 7 | Cody White | WR | ||||
| 13 | Laress Nelson | WR | ||||
| 18 | Felton Davis III | WR | ||||
| 21 | Cam Chambers | WR | ||||
| 25 | Darrell Stewart Jr. | WR | ||||
| 86 | Trishton Jackson | WR | ||||
| 81 | Matt Sokol | TE | ||||
| 84 | Noah Davis | TE | ||||
| 89 | Matt Dotson | TE | ||||
| 53 | Garret Jansen | DL | ||||
| 52 | Dillon Alexander | DE | ||||
| 91 | Robert Bowers | DE | ||||
| 96 | Jacub Panasiuk | DE | ||||
| 98 | Demetrius Cooper | DE | ||||
| 41 | Gerald Owens | DT | ||||
| 51 | Kyonta Stallworth | DT | ||||
| 93 | Naquan Jones | DT | ||||
| 99 | Raequan Williams | DT | ||||
| 5 | Andrew Dowell | LB | ||||
| 17 | Tyriq Thompson | LB | ||||
| 23 | Chris Frey | LB | ||||
| 26 | Brandon Bouyer-Randle | LB | ||||
| 34 | Antjuan Simmons | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Bachie | LB | ||||
| 38 | Byron Bullough | LB | ||||
| 44 | Grayson Miller | LB | ||||
| 33 | Noah Clayberg | DB | ||||
| 9 | Dominique Long | CB | ||||
| 15 | Tyson Smith | CB | ||||
| 19 | Josh Butler | CB | ||||
| 22 | Josiah Scott | CB | ||||
| 31 | T.J. Harrell | CB | ||||
| 6 | David Dowell | S | ||||
| 10 | Matt Morrissey | S | ||||
| 24 | Tre Person | S | ||||
| 27 | Khari Willis | S | ||||
| 4 | Matt Coghlin | PK | ||||
| 8 | Brett Scanlon | PK | ||||
| 25 | Jake Hartbarger | P | ||||
| 2 | Justin Layne | DEF | ||||
| 48 | Kenny Willekes | DEF | ||||
| 49 | Shane Jones | DEF | ||||
| 72 | Mike Panasiuk | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →