ACC · 2020 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2020

8-47-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#21
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+7.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+9.2
9th in FBS
Defense
-1.5
76th in FBS
Schedule
-1.0
87th toughest
Preseason
+3.1
rating going in

2020 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.7 now, +3.1 preseason · up 11 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#21

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
2Sep 12vs113SyracuseCONFW 31–6+12.4—ACC Network
3Sep 19vs105CharlotteNorth Carolina −17.5 · o/u 70.5—88%ESPN3
4—Bye
5Oct 3@68Boston CollegeCONFW 26–22+5.8—ABC
6Oct 10vs49Virginia TechCONFW 56–45+11.2—ABC
7Oct 17@103Florida StateCONFL 28–31-8.0—ABC
8Oct 24vs72NC StateCONFW 48–21+22.3—ESPN
9Oct 31@59VirginiaCONFL 41–44-0.1—ACC Network
10Nov 7@112DukeCONFW 56–24+19.0—ESPN2
11Nov 14vs53Wake ForestCONFW 59–53+5.8—ACC Network
12—Bye
13Nov 27vs9Notre DameCONFL 17–31-4.0—ABC
14Dec 5vsWestern Carolina FCSW 49–9+10.0—ACC Network
15Dec 12@28MiamiCONFW 62–26+36.3—ABC
BowlsJan 2vs13Texas A&MNEUTRALL 27–41-3.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.3%11th41.8%45th
Rushing success rate52.8%11th47.1%87th
Passing success rate49.7%13th36.7%13th
Explosive run rate24.8%1st16.0%76th
Explosive pass rate16.0%7th10.3%65th
Line yards / carry3.3614th3.1891st
Opportunity rate46.1%10th42.0%96th
Stuff rate18.4%49th15.4%103rd
Sack rate8.2%100th8.3%13th
3rd-down conversion46.7%31st37.8%30th
Red-zone TD rate72.0%26th63.4%65th
Havoc rate11.2%36th10.7%100th
Box score · season totals
Points / game41.510th29.466th
Yards / game537.35th400.958th
Yards / play7.304th5.5669th
Pass yards / game301.418th227.681st
Yards / pass att.10.001st7.4972nd
Completion %68.3%8th58.2%36th
Rush yards / game235.811th154.350th
Yards / carry5.003rd4.2664th
3rd-down conv. %45.4%27th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0826th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.83100th3.0016th
Penalty yards / game67.8109th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →