ACC · 2017 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2017

3-91-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#81
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-2.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.9
76th in FBS
Defense
-1.8
81st in FBS
Schedule
+2.0
39th toughest
Preseason
+2.7
rating going in

2017 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.7 now, +2.7 preseason · down 43 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#80

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vs67CaliforniaL 30–35-7.9—ACCNX
2Sep 9vs22LouisvilleCONFL 35–47-6.1—ESPN
3Sep 16@114Old DominionW 53–23+17.1—
4Sep 23vs37DukeCONFL 17–27-8.1—ESPNU
5Sep 30@44Georgia TechCONFL 7–33-18.2—ESPN2
6Oct 7vs10Notre DameL 10–33-11.1—ABC
7Oct 14vs86VirginiaCONFL 14–20-12.0—ACCNX
8Oct 21@21Virginia TechCONFL 7–59-22.1—ESPN2
9Oct 28vs14MiamiCONFL 19–24+2.9—ESPN2
10—Bye
11Nov 9@65PittsburghCONFW 34–31+5.4—ESPN
12Nov 18vsWestern Carolina FCSW 65–10+12.8—ACCNX
13Nov 25@23NC StateCONFL 21–33-1.2—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.0%86th45.4%92nd
Rushing success rate42.5%83rd49.3%112th
Passing success rate39.8%86th40.6%62nd
Explosive run rate16.5%32nd16.3%95th
Explosive pass rate8.6%103rd10.6%71st
Line yards / carry2.9082nd3.23102nd
Opportunity rate38.2%68th40.1%93rd
Stuff rate19.9%80th17.1%85th
Sack rate6.5%79th5.9%60th
3rd-down conversion35.7%111th40.9%67th
Red-zone TD rate71.0%27th59.0%51st
Havoc rate14.1%91st12.6%70th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.089th31.385th
Yards / game369.696th——
Yards / play5.1398th——
Pass yards / game225.470th——
Yards / pass att.6.6597th——
Completion %54.3%104th——
Rush yards / game144.290th——
Yards / carry4.0582nd——
3rd-down conv. %30.3%122nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.5097th——
Penalty yards / game72.7122nd——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →