The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs Portland State FCS | W 20–6 | -8.1 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 18LSUNEUTRAL | L 0–27 | -15.7 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 40Utah | L 13–19 | -4.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 4Wisconsin | L 6–40 | -11.5 | — | ABC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 76Utah State | L 24–40 | -15.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 24Boise State | L 7–24 | -11.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 20Mississippi State | L 10–35 | -12.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 122East Carolina | L 17–33 | -27.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 129San Jose State | W 41–20 | -0.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 46Fresno State | L 13–20 | -0.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 101UNLV | W 31–21 | +5.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 104Massachusetts | L 10–16 | -15.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 117Hawai'i | W 30–20 | -0.1 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.3% | 109th | 43.8% | 81st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.0% | 80th | 43.1% | 65th |
| Passing success rate | 36.1% | 110th | 44.5% | 98th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 78th | 10.2% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.9% | 126th | 10.2% | 59th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 25th | 2.95 | 65th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 49th | 35.2% | 37th |
| Stuff rate | 15.2% | 18th | 17.7% | 77th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 43rd | 4.2% | 107th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.6% | 90th | 40.7% | 65th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 44.4% | 125th | 51.0% | 18th |
| Havoc rate | 14.2% | 94th | 11.4% | 98th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.5 | 122nd | 29.8 | 80th |
| Yards / game | 325.1 | 119th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.98 | 103rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 194.6 | 90th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.05 | 120th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 102nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 130.5 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.20 | 75th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.8% | 95th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 60th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.1 | 15th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →