The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 18Mississippi State | L 23–49 | -14.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 76NavyCONF | W 37–13 | +23.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 118Arkansas State | W 44–32 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 74North Texas | W 44–34 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 115TempleCONF | W 24–3 | +9.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 54HoustonCONF | L 32–33 | -0.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 56East CarolinaCONF | L 45–47 | +2.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 19TulaneCONF | L 28–38 | +0.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 35UCFCONF | L 28–35 | -4.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 86TulsaCONF | W 26–10 | +9.4 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs North Alabama FCS | W 59–0 | +13.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 52SMUCONF | L 31–34 | +2.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 111Utah StateNEUTRAL | W 38–10 | +16.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.8% | 54th | 42.9% | 63rd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.0% | 66th | 41.5% | 38th |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 37th | 44.3% | 99th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.6% | 121st | 11.4% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 39th | 10.5% | 74th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 104th | 2.96 | 38th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 53rd | 33.9% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 19.6% | 112th | 17.2% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 77th | 4.6% | 102nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.5% | 16th | 43.4% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.2% | 60th | 65.0% | 94th |
| Havoc rate | 9.6% | 101st | 7.5% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.1 | 22nd | 26.0 | 59th |
| Yards / game | 422.5 | 39th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.58 | 58th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 280.1 | 20th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.00 | 40th | — | — |
| Completion % | 64.0% | 38th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 142.4 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.75 | 93rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.4% | 25th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 39th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.85 | 99th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.9 | 8th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Glover | QB | ||||
| 5 | Seth Henigan | QB | ||||
| 8 | Jay Ducker | RB | ||||
| 15 | Sutton Smith | RB | ||||
| 22 | Brandon Thomas | RB | ||||
| 27 | ShunDerrick Powell | RB | ||||
| 28 | Asa Martin | RB | ||||
| 3 | Roc Taylor | WR | ||||
| 4 | Javon Ivory | WR | ||||
| 6 | Marcayll Jones | WR | ||||
| 9 | Gabriel Rogers | WR | ||||
| 11 | Joseph Scates | WR | ||||
| 17 | Cameron Wright | WR | ||||
| 18 | Eddie Lewis | WR | ||||
| 85 | Koby Drake | WR | ||||
| 13 | John Hassell | TE | ||||
| 86 | Caden Prieskorn | TE | ||||
| 87 | James Quinnelly | TE | ||||
| 87 | Corson Swan | TE | ||||
| 63 | Isaac Moore | OL | ||||
| 9 | William Whitlow Jr. | DL | ||||
| 12 | Cormontae Hamilton | DL | ||||
| 22 | Jaylon Allen | DL | ||||
| 40 | Drew Martin | DL | ||||
| 45 | Warren Peeples | DL | ||||
| 66 | Hank Pearson | DL | ||||
| 93 | Meonta Kimbrough | DL | ||||
| 96 | Zy Brockington | DL | ||||
| 97 | Wardalis Ducksworth | DL | ||||
| 7 | James Stewart | DE | ||||
| 99 | Cam Jackson | DT | ||||
| 3 | Cincir Evans | LB | ||||
| 5 | Tyler Murray | LB | ||||
| 8 | Xavier Cullens | LB | ||||
| 9 | Geoffrey Cantin-Arku | LB | ||||
| 15 | Carson Kropp | LB | ||||
| 19 | Davion Mayo | LB | ||||
| 25 | Jared Nedd | LB | ||||
| 58 | Braunson White | LB | ||||
| 1 | Davion Ross | DB | ||||
| 2 | Julian Barnett | DB | ||||
| 10 | An'Darius Coffey | DB | ||||
| 11 | Sylvonta Oliver | DB | ||||
| 24 | Greg Rubin | DB | ||||
| 28 | Ladarian Paulk | DB | ||||
| 30 | Rodney Owens | DB | ||||
| 31 | Joe Norwood | DB | ||||
| 41 | Joel Williams | DB | ||||
| 43 | Jawon Odoms | DB | ||||
| 15 | Jacob Peters | CB | ||||
| 1 | Josh Hastings | S | ||||
| 15 | Quindell Johnson | S | ||||
| 29 | Cam Smith | S | ||||
| 12 | Chris Howard | PK | ||||
| 16 | Noah Grant | PK | ||||
| 17 | Joe Doyle | P | ||||
| 46 | Tanner Gillis | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →