2026 Season · Week 5

Player Props

Our projection for every player with a real role in this week's games: a recency-weighted average of this season's games (pulled toward last season early on), adjusted for what the opponent's defense has allowed and for our game-script numbers (implied team points from the spread and total). Set any line with − / + to see the chance of the over and how often the player has cleared it this season. Sportsbook prop lines aren't connected yet, so each row starts at a line near our projection.

150 of 674 players

Player	Game	TDC proj.	Line	Over	Under	Hit rate	Season avg
Jesse Legree WR	@ CSU	141	140.5	47%	53%	1/4	146.2
Easton Messer WR	vs Texas Southern	110	109.5	46%	54%	1/4	87.5
Carlos Hernandez WR	vs STAN	103	102.5	47%	53%	2/4	129.0
Jeremiah Smith WR	@ IOWA	96	95.5	47%	53%	3/4	154.2
Malachi Toney WR	@ CLEM	93	92.5	46%	54%	4/4	141.0
Jackson Harris WR	vs McNeese	92	91.5	46%	54%	1/4	70.0
Collin Dixon WR	vs PUR	91	90.5	47%	53%	2/4	107.5
Umari Hatcher WR	@ CONN	91	90.5	47%	53%	1/3	94.0
KJ Duff WR	vs IU	88	87.5	47%	53%	3/4	137.5
Nik McMillan WR	vs MTSU	88	87.5	47%	53%	1/3	75.3
Riley Neer WR	@ KENT	87	86.5	47%	53%	2/4	79.0
Chris Marshall WR	@ TA&M	81	80.5	46%	54%	2/4	118.2
Reed Harris WR	vs BAY	81	80.5	46%	54%	2/3	124.7
Joseph Williams WR	vs TTU	75	74.5	47%	53%	3/4	90.2
TK King WR	vs WKU	74	73.5	48%	52%	2/4	66.2
Trent Mosley WR	vs WASH	74	73.5	48%	52%	2/3	85.0
Anthony Evans III WR	vs ALA	74	73.5	47%	53%	3/4	102.0
Kelby Valsin WR	vs Texas Southern	74	73.5	47%	53%	3/4	96.5
Trey'Dez Green TE	vs McNeese	73	72.5	47%	53%	1/3	74.0
Danny Scudero WR	vs TTU	72	71.5	47%	53%	0/2	12.0
Charlie Becker WR	@ RUTG	72	71.5	47%	53%	3/4	92.5
Adjatay Dabbs WR	@ BALL	70	69.5	47%	53%	2/4	71.2
Cayden Lee WR	vs FLA	70	69.5	46%	54%	3/4	103.0
Sean Wilson WR	vs LIB	69	68.5	44%	56%	2/4	73.0
Asaad Waseem WR	@ ILL	69	68.5	47%	53%	2/4	88.8
Legend Glasker WR	@ TCU	69	68.5	48%	52%	2/3	90.0
Chase Hendricks WR	@ UNLV	69	68.5	47%	53%	1/4	58.0
Rasean Jones WR	vs USU	69	68.5	47%	53%	2/4	67.8
Tre Richardson WR	@ NCSU	68	67.5	48%	52%	3/4	82.0
Justin Stevenson WR	@ TLSA	68	67.5	47%	53%	2/4	70.2
Chris Dawn Jr. WR	@ SDSU	68	67.5	47%	53%	1/4	61.8
Dominique Henry WR	vs Texas Southern	68	67.5	46%	54%	1/4	58.5
Mario Craver WR	vs ARK	67	66.5	47%	53%	1/4	56.2
Winston Watkins WR	vs McNeese	67	66.5	48%	52%	2/4	78.5
Ian Strong WR	@ UNLV	67	66.5	47%	53%	1/4	62.5
Yamir Knight WR	vs BC	67	66.5	46%	54%	2/4	86.2
Corri Milliner WR	@ TLSA	66	65.5	48%	52%	2/4	69.0
Javon Robinson WR	@ BOIS	66	65.5	47%	53%	2/3	66.0
Kainoa Carvalho WR	vs SJSU	66	65.5	47%	53%	2/4	51.8
Ryan Coleman-Williams WR	@ MSST	66	65.5	47%	53%	2/4	83.2
Jackson Williams WR	vs WYO	66	65.5	46%	54%	1/4	70.8
JJ Buchanan WR	@ MINN	65	64.5	47%	53%	3/4	99.0
Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR	vs WASH	65	64.5	47%	53%	3/5	74.4
Jaden Barnes WR	vs MEM	65	64.5	47%	53%	2/4	59.8
Hunter Tipton TE	@ CLT	64	63.5	41%	59%	1/4	76.8
Taz Reddicks WR	vs CAL	63	62.5	48%	52%	2/3	78.7
Harold Mack WR	@ MASS	61	60.5	48%	52%	2/4	53.8
Ty Mims WR	vs Samford	61	60.5	48%	52%	1/4	49.0
Keshaun Singleton WR	@ TENN	61	60.5	47%	53%	2/4	67.0
Kenny Johnson WR	@ COLO	61	60.5	47%	53%	2/4	72.5
Makai Jackson WR	@ DEL	61	60.5	47%	53%	4/4	94.8
Josiah Freeman WR	@ WSU	61	60.5	47%	53%	3/3	87.0
Junior Sherrill WR	@ UGA	60	59.5	47%	53%	4/4	91.8
DeAndre Moore Jr. WR	vs TTU	60	59.5	47%	53%	1/3	66.7
Yannick Smith WR	vs BC	59	58.5	48%	52%	1/3	67.0
Chas Nimrod WR	@ TENN	59	58.5	48%	52%	1/4	60.0
Mike Matthews WR	vs AUB	59	58.5	46%	54%	2/4	65.2
Koby Howard WR	@ NU	59	58.5	46%	54%	3/3	114.7
Duce Robinson WR	vs UVA	59	58.5	46%	54%	1/4	65.5
Amare Thomas WR	vs UCF	59	58.5	46%	54%	2/4	71.8
Carson Clark WR	@ HAW	59	58.5	47%	53%	2/4	60.0
Ed Small WR	vs BYU	58	57.5	46%	54%	3/4	92.8
Beau Sparks WR	@ SDSU	58	57.5	48%	52%	1/3	30.3
Rico Bond WR	@ BALL	58	57.5	44%	56%	1/3	59.3
Dezmen Roebuck WR	@ USC	58	57.5	47%	53%	3/4	77.0
Aveion Chenault WR	@ BUFF	58	57.5	47%	53%	2/3	72.0
Maleek Huggins WR	vs BGSU	57	56.5	45%	55%	1/4	56.2
Caden High WR	@ WAKE	57	56.5	46%	54%	2/3	85.3
Eli Wood WR	@ BOIS	57	56.5	47%	53%	2/4	71.5
Kari Ashley TE	vs BYU	56	55.5	46%	54%	2/4	66.5
Gavin Freeman WR	@ ASU	56	55.5	46%	54%	3/4	91.0
Donovan Olugbode WR	vs FLA	56	55.5	46%	54%	2/4	78.2
Reginald Vick Jr WR	vs ORST	56	55.5	47%	53%	3/4	67.0
Griffin Wilde WR	vs PSU	56	55.5	47%	53%	3/3	81.7
Lawayne McCoy WR	@ NCSU	56	55.5	47%	53%	4/4	75.2
Bailen George WR	vs UTEP	55	54.5	47%	53%	1/3	52.0
Chance Morrow WR	vs WMU	55	54.5	43%	57%	2/4	76.8
Hudson Clement WR	vs PUR	55	54.5	47%	53%	2/4	56.8
Damarion Witten WR	vs BGSU	54	53.5	47%	53%	2/4	53.8
Tre Spivey WR	vs CIN	54	53.5	45%	55%	2/4	69.5
Nick Marsh WR	@ RUTG	54	53.5	47%	53%	2/4	55.2
Omarion Miller WR	vs BAY	54	53.5	46%	54%	1/3	49.7
Ashton Hollins WR	@ CCU	52	51.5	44%	56%	2/3	67.3
Jalen Cooper WR	vs BC	52	51.5	45%	55%	2/4	61.2
Luke Dehnicke TE	vs PSU	52	51.5	44%	56%	1/3	69.3
Andrew Marsh WR	@ MINN	51	50.5	45%	55%	2/4	59.8
Cam'ron Lacy WR	@ KU	51	50.5	47%	53%	3/4	77.5
Kam Perry WR	vs TTU	51	50.5	47%	53%	0/2	10.5
Justus Ross-Simmons WR	@ CONN	51	50.5	47%	53%	1/2	65.0
Giovanni Richardson WR	vs CIN	50	49.5	48%	52%	1/2	80.5
Nico Brown WR	@ WAKE	50	49.5	48%	52%	1/2	53.0
Brendan Jenkins WR	vs ULM	50	49.5	45%	55%	2/4	57.0
Jordan Napier WR	vs TXST	50	49.5	48%	52%	0/2	5.0
Jordan Faison WR	@ UNC	50	49.5	47%	53%	3/4	59.8
Keenan Jackson WR	vs LOU	50	49.5	44%	56%	3/4	73.8
Bryant Wesco Jr. WR	vs MIA	49	48.5	48%	52%	1/4	40.8
Xavier Townsend WR	@ ILL	49	48.5	43%	57%	2/4	70.8
Micah Gilbert WR	@ UNC	49	48.5	43%	57%	2/4	83.5
T.J. Moore WR	vs MIA	49	48.5	46%	54%	1/4	49.0
Jalen Mickens WR	vs ARMY	49	48.5	46%	54%	3/3	99.0
Vernell Brown III WR	@ MIZ	49	48.5	45%	55%	2/4	67.8
Corey Scott WR	vs MRSH	48	47.5	48%	52%	3/4	46.2
Kenny Darby WR	@ SC	48	47.5	47%	53%	2/4	56.5
Isaiah Horton WR	vs ARK	48	47.5	47%	53%	2/4	53.2
Chauncy Cobb WR	@ UL	48	47.5	47%	53%	3/4	48.2
Tama Uiliata WR	vs SJSU	48	47.5	45%	55%	2/4	52.0
Kwazi Gilmer WR	vs MD	48	47.5	47%	53%	2/4	60.0
Baron Naone TE	@ USC	47	46.5	47%	53%	1/4	51.2
Da'Wain Lofton WR	vs LIB	47	46.5	45%	55%	3/3	86.0
Chris Durr Jr. WR	@ NEB	47	46.5	47%	53%	3/4	78.0
Nic Trujillo WR	@ USA	47	46.5	47%	53%	2/3	43.7
Vandrevius Jacobs WR	@ CLEM	47	46.5	48%	52%	0/2	40.5
Jeremiah Koger WR	@ TENN	47	46.5	48%	52%	2/4	44.2
Rodshaun Dorsey WR	vs ODU	47	46.5	46%	54%	1/4	58.5
Que'Sean Brown WR	vs PITT	47	46.5	46%	54%	2/4	56.0
AJ Wilson WR	@ RICE	47	46.5	46%	54%	2/4	48.8
Lotzeir Brooks WR	@ MSST	47	46.5	46%	54%	3/4	64.0
Jonathan Stafford Jr. WR	@ NMSU	46	45.5	48%	52%	2/4	39.5
Tony Diaz WR	vs OSU	46	45.5	47%	53%	3/4	61.8
Wayne Harris WR	vs OHIO	46	45.5	47%	53%	1/4	43.2
Aeryn Hampton WR	@ CSU	45	44.5	47%	53%	2/4	47.0
Cade Keith TE	vs UTEP	45	44.5	48%	52%	2/3	56.3
Anthony Ivey WR	@ HAW	45	44.5	42%	58%	1/4	46.0
Colin Chase WR	@ USF	45	44.5	47%	53%	2/3	65.3
Cooper Barkate WR	@ CLEM	45	44.5	47%	53%	2/4	35.8
DJ Allen Jr. WR	@ RICE	45	44.5	44%	56%	2/4	60.5
Omari Hayes WR	vs WVU	44	43.5	48%	52%	2/4	39.0
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR	vs ULM	44	43.5	48%	52%	2/4	59.0
Brendan Loftus TE	vs BGSU	44	43.5	48%	52%	1/2	43.5
Rico Flores Jr. WR	@ FSU	44	43.5	48%	52%	1/2	69.5
Akeem Wright WR	vs USU	44	43.5	46%	54%	1/3	43.3
Bryson Rodgers WR	vs TEM	44	43.5	47%	53%	2/4	49.2
Eugene Wilson WR	vs McNeese	44	43.5	45%	55%	1/4	38.0
Audric Harris WR	vs SJSU	44	43.5	45%	55%	1/4	41.5
AJ Williams III WR	vs WKU	44	43.5	47%	53%	2/4	40.8
Tyrell Henry WR	vs MSU	44	43.5	42%	58%	2/4	76.8
DJ Epps WR	@ ISU	43	42.5	46%	54%	2/4	69.8
Donovan Brown WR	vs TXST	43	42.5	48%	52%	1/3	25.0
Coy Eakin WR	@ COLO	43	42.5	47%	53%	2/4	45.5
Trent Walker WR	vs UCF	43	42.5	46%	54%	1/4	36.8
Braylon Staley WR	vs AUB	43	42.5	47%	53%	2/4	33.0
Darrius Clemons WR	vs FRES	43	42.5	47%	53%	1/4	39.2
Cataurus Hicks WR	@ VT	43	42.5	44%	56%	3/4	63.0
EJ Reid WR	vs Samford	43	42.5	47%	53%	1/4	34.0
Tristian Gardner WR	vs GASO	43	42.5	46%	54%	2/4	45.2
Jacory Barney Jr. WR	vs MD	42	41.5	45%	55%	2/4	55.5
Winn Sharp WR	@ M-OH	42	41.5	48%	52%	2/3	51.3
Jacob Bostick WR	vs TXST	42	41.5	48%	52%	1/2	36.5
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw WR	@ JMU	42	41.5	44%	56%	3/4	75.0
Nyck Harbor WR	vs UK	42	41.5	48%	52%	2/4	42.2

Tested on every 2025 game, projecting each from only the games before it. Our projections missed by less than a plain season average, and the over/under chances were checked against how often players actually went over. Injuries and depth-chart changes aren't in the numbers, so check who's playing. For information and entertainment; bet responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).